Match Info
NBL - Play Offs - 1/8-finalsDate: 4 March 2026, WednesdayLocation: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
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South East Melbourne Phoenix |
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Perth Wildcats |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
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1.6 |
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2.35 |
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1.52 |
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2.4 |
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1.53 |
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2.54 |
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1.5 |
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2.44 |
Watch |
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1.47 |
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2.5 |
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1.53 |
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2.58 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↓ (1.56) |
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2.47 ↑ (2.32) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 191.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
South East Melbourne Phoenix 61.8% | Perth Wildcats 38.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Perth Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Wildcats than the current prediction. (-0.9%)South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 182.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
South East Melbourne Phoenix will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): South East Melbourne Phoenix will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 99:94 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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0. Brown J.
| 5. Doolittle K.
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30. Foxwell O.
| 10. Henshall B.
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1. Hunter J.
| 0. Lual-Acuil J.
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25. Iwundu W.
| 40. Pepper E.
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20. Sobey N. (C)
| 3. Windler D.
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| Substitutes |
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7. Aliir A.
| 8. Dech S.
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21. Clark I.
| 12. Duke Jr. D.
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11. Foster D.
| 25. Huefner C.
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5. Glover A.
| 13. Kouakou-Heugue N.
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33. Lewis M.
| 2. Mayen L.
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8. Mitchell D.
| 1. Russo-Nance D.
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13. Rosendale L.
| 24. Wagstaff J. (C)
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2. Ryan P.
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| Coaches |
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. King J.
| . Rillie J.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 2.In recent matches, South East Melbourne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Perth is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). South East Melbourne will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1863:1934. (average 93.2:96.7).Including home matches between the teams, South East Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 868:852. (average 96.4:94.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
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| 3 | Perth | 6 | 4 | 2 | 547:564 | 0.667 |
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| 9 | South East Melbourne | 8 | 3 | 5 | 772:751 | 0.375 |
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Outrights of Australian NBL for now
South East Melbourne: 8.57%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL | | | 28.01.26 | Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix | 101:93 | | 10.01.26 | South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats | 97:107 | | 18.12.25 | Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix | 76:77 | | 01.11.25 | South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats | 94:89 | | 11.02.25 | Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix | 122:105 | | 31.01.25 | Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix | 100:99 | | 15.11.24 | Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix | 97:84 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;