Match Info

NBL - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports


	South East Melbourne Phoenix		Tasmania JackJumpers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.14	5
	1.15	5.41
	1.13	5.32	Watch
	1.13	5.25
	1.18	5.15	Watch
	1.16	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.11)	5.27 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 191.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South East Melbourne Phoenix
82.1%

Tasmania JackJumpers
17.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

86.3%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South East Melbourne Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Tasmania JackJumpers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

South East Melbourne Phoenix - Tasmania JackJumpers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. South East Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tasmania will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 102:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Brown J.	33. Bannan J.
30. Foxwell O.	12. Campbell T.
1. Hunter J.	5. Deng M.
25. Iwundu W.	7. Johnson D.
20. Sobey N.	11. Marshall N.
Substitutes
7. Aliir A.
21. Clark I.
11. Foster D.
5. Glover A.
33. Lewis M.
8. Mitchell D.
13. Rosendale L.
2. Ryan P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

South East Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, South East Melbourne is the clear favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1373:1350. (average 85.8:84.4).

Including home matches between the teams, South East Melbourne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 681:679. (average 85.1:84.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Tasmania JackJumpers	8	6	2	790:748	0.750
9	South East Melbourne	8	3	5	772:751	0.375

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

Tasmania JackJumpers: 11.38% South East Melbourne: 8.57%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South East Melbourne Phoenix
Australian NBL
07.02.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Sydney Kings	88:114 ✺
05.02.26	New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	83:114 ✺
31.01.26	Adelaide 36ers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	77:97 ✺
28.01.26	Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix	101:93 ✺
24.01.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Cairns Taipans	118:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW
- Tasmania JackJumpers
Australian NBL
06.02.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Brisbane Bullets	114:70 ✺
31.01.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers	91:89 ✺
30.01.26	Cairns Taipans - Tasmania JackJumpers	96:93 OT ✺
24.01.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Illawarra Hawks	91:101 ✺
22.01.26	Sydney Kings - Tasmania JackJumpers	103:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
29.12.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	87:84
10.12.25	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Tasmania JackJumpers	81:89
06.11.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	102:103
25.01.25	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Tasmania JackJumpers	116:80
05.01.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	91:105
01.11.24	Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	77:79
10.02.24	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Tasmania JackJumpers	67:94

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