Match Info
NBL - Round 20Date: 5 February 2026, ThursdayLocation: Spark Arena (Auckland)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
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New Zealand Breakers |
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South East Melbourne Phoenix |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
3.8 |
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1.23 |
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 |
4.33 |
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1.23 |
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 |
3.77 |
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1.23 |
Watch |
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3.75 |
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1.22 |
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3.92 |
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1.27 |
Watch |
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4.5 |
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1.22 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↑
(3.45) |
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1.23 ↓
(1.24) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 196.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Zealand Breakers
23.5% | South East Melbourne Phoenix
76.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:New Zealand Breakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. NZ Breakers (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:103 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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2.  Bairstow S.
| 0.  Brown J.
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8. Brockington I.
| 30. Foxwell O.
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6. Jackson-Cartwright P. (C)
| 1. Hunter J.
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15.  Loe R.
| 25. Iwundu W.
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7. Te Rangi R.
| 20. Sobey N.
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| Substitutes |
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20. Andrew J.
| 7. Aliir A.
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5. Britt T.
| 21. Clark I.
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12. Darling M.
| 11. Foster D.
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21. Davison C.
| 5. Glover A.
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67. Judd L.
| 33.  Lewis M.
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0. McNaught A.
| 8. Mitchell D.
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90. Webster T.
| 13. Rosendale L.
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| Coaches |
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.  Koponen P.
| . King J.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 1.NZ Breakers has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).South East Melbourne is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).South East Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, South East Melbourne is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1754:1839. (average 87.7:92).Including home matches between the teams, NZ Breakers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 776:784. (average 86.2:87.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
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| 4 | New Zealand Breakers | 8 | 4 | 4 | 737:712 | 0.500 |
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| 9 | South East Melbourne | 8 | 3 | 5 | 772:751 | 0.375 |
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Outrights of Australian NBL for now
South East Melbourne: 8.57% New Zealand Breakers: 4.11%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL | | | 21.01.26 | South East Melbourne Phoenix - New Zealand Breakers | 123:116 | | 13.12.25 | South East Melbourne Phoenix - New Zealand Breakers | 92:80 | | 11.10.25 | New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix | 81:87 | | Club Friendly Basketball | | | 29.08.25 | South East Melbourne Phoenix - New Zealand Breakers | 101:109 | | Australian NBL | | | 18.01.25 | South East Melbourne Phoenix - New Zealand Breakers | 102:89 | | 24.10.24 | New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix | 62:88 | | 29.09.24 | New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix | 81:79 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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