Match Info
NBL - Play Offs - FinalDate: 8 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stadium Southland (Invercargill)
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 |
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Southland Sharks |
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Wellington Saints |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
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|
 Watch |
 |
1.55 |
|
2.30 |
|
 |
1.68 |
|
2.04 |
Watch |
 |
1.85 |
|
1.88 |
|
 |
1.83 |
|
1.78 |
Watch |
 |
1.83 |
|
1.86 |
|
 |
1.76 |
|
1.93 |
|
 |
1.75 |
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2.05 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.73) |
|
1.98 ↑
(1.96) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 186.75
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Southland Sharks
53% | Wellington Saints
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Wellington Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southland Sharks than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Saints than the current prediction. (-1.7%)Southland Sharks - Wellington Saints Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:94 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
5.  Asberry C.
| 7.  Aliir A.
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20.  Boone K.
| 0. Davison C.
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3. Inger B.
| 15. Hunt J.
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1. Jones R.
| 1. Ingram D.
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33. Timmins S. (C)
| 40. Pepper E.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
13. Bertinshaw D.
| 12. Chunga A.
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11. Cameron T.
| 3. Gold S.
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14. Cooper T.
| 2. Le'Afa I. (C)
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6. Ramage J.
| 10. Nonu M.
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15. Snow R.
| 27. Pilcher A.
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10. Webster Q.
| 17. Robertson A.
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9. Wynyard T.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Yim J.
| . Young A.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southland Sharks won 1.Southland Sharks is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Wellington Saints is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).Wellington Saints may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Southland Sharks won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1783:2003. (average 89.2:100.2).Including home matches between the teams, Southland Sharks won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 725:752. (average 90.6:94).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NBL | | | 25.07.26 | Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks | 119:94 | | 21.05.26 | Southland Sharks - Wellington Saints | 104:90 | | 19.07.25 | Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks | 88:83 | | 10.04.25 | Southland Sharks - Wellington Saints | 72:93 | | 26.03.25 | Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks | 122:83 | | 13.07.24 | Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks | 88:78 | | 15.04.24 | Southland Sharks - Wellington Saints | 75:100 |
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