Match Info

NBL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: TSB Bank Arena (Wellington)


	Wellington Saints		Otago Nuggets

	1	2
			Watch
	1.16	4.60
	1.18	4	Watch
	1.22	3.72
	1.17	4.41	Watch
	1.19	3.8
	1.17	4.44
	1.13	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.08)	4.37 ↓ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Saints
78.8%

Otago Nuggets
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Otago Nuggets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Wellington Saints - Otago Nuggets Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6.5, 1st Half - Wellington Saints (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wellington Saints (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 99:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Aliir A.	13. Louis A.
0. Davison C.	6. Moller C.
13. Harris H. (C)	12. Rusbatch E. (C)
1. Ingram D.	1. Thata-Paese T.
40. Pepper E.	5. Tuach B.
Substitutes
11. Blackmore A.	7. Bardsley M.
3. Gold S.	9. Bezett H.
15. Hunt J.	4. Chisholm O.
10. Nonu M.	18. McKenzie Z.
27. Pilcher A.	8. Miller-Jose I.
17. Robertson A.	10. Smiler C.
	24. Tipene P.
Coaches
. Young A.	. Sparrow J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington Saints won 5.

Wellington Saints is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Otago Nuggets's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Otago Nuggets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wellington Saints is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Wellington Saints won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1127:1076. (average 93.9:89.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington Saints won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 580:523. (average 96.7:87.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Saints
New Zealand NBL
25.07.26	Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks	119:94 ✺
23.07.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Wellington Saints	82:107 ✺
18.07.26	Wellington Saints - Tauranga Whai	107:95 ✺
11.07.26	Wellington Saints - Canterbury Rams	88:98 ✺
10.07.26	Tauranga Whai - Wellington Saints	95:109 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW
- Otago Nuggets
New Zealand NBL
22.07.26	Tauranga Whai - Otago Nuggets	107:66 ✺
16.07.26	Otago Nuggets - Hawkes Bay Hawks	92:79 ✺
12.07.26	Auckland Tuatara - Otago Nuggets	80:84 ✺
10.07.26	Franklin Bulls - Otago Nuggets	88:92 ✺
04.07.26	Otago Nuggets - Wellington Saints	90:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
04.07.26	Otago Nuggets - Wellington Saints	90:91
06.06.26	Wellington Saints - Otago Nuggets	96:90
31.05.25	Wellington Saints - Otago Nuggets	91:79
12.04.25	Otago Nuggets - Wellington Saints	99:111
29.06.24	Wellington Saints - Otago Nuggets	106:80
13.04.24	Otago Nuggets - Wellington Saints	105:95
09.06.23	Wellington Saints - Otago Nuggets	85:101

Wellington Saints - Otago Nuggets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide