Match Info

BNXT League - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Dome Charleroi (Spiroudome) (Charleroi)


	Spirou Charleroi		Donar Groningen

	1	2
	1.44	2.48	Watch
	1.43	2.65
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.44	2.7
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	2.56 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spirou Charleroi
63.8%

Donar Groningen
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spirou Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Donar Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spirou Charleroi than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spirou Charleroi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donar Groningen than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Donar Groningen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spirou Charleroi - Donar Groningen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Boakye E.	11. Adetunji D.
4. Gary J.	3. Erikstrup D.
2. Jackson Z.	33. Forrest D.
11. Nottage E. (C)	1. Luke A.
3. Styles D.	4. Miller M.
Substitutes
12. Bilolo Katuala M.	6. Cnubben L.
77. Makwa M.	21. Hoeve T.
5. Polet A.	2. Linguard Jr C.
22. Smout Q.	22. Nossek W.
13. Zecevic L.	32. Zuidema K. (C)
Coaches
. Rotsaert S.	. Dourisseau J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spirou won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Spirou has had a series of away games.

Spirou is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Spirou won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 820:772. (average 74.5:70.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Spirou won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 403:333. (average 80.6:66.6).

Outrights of BNXT League for now

Spirou Charleroi: 2.28% Donar Groningen: 1.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Donar Groningen	2	2	0	166:154	1.000
9	Spirou Charleroi	1	0	1	65:69	0.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spirou Charleroi
BNXT League
08.04.26	Donar Groningen - Spirou Charleroi	83:74 ✺
04.04.26	Oostende - Spirou Charleroi	75:86 ✺
01.04.26	Leiden - Spirou Charleroi	87:81 ✺
27.03.26	Spirou Charleroi - Kangoeroes Mechelen	79:74 ✺
15.03.26	BAL Weert - Spirou Charleroi	55:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWLWW
- Donar Groningen
BNXT League
08.04.26	Donar Groningen - Spirou Charleroi	83:74 ✺
04.04.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	75:65 ✺
01.04.26	Donar Groningen - LWD Basket	92:82 ✺
28.03.26	Okapi Aalstar - Donar Groningen	111:82 ✺
ENBL
25.03.26	Mitteldeutscher - Donar Groningen	80:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
08.04.26	Donar Groningen - Spirou Charleroi	83:74
10.05.25	Donar Groningen - Spirou Charleroi	69:65
17.11.24	Spirou Charleroi - Donar Groningen	80:68
Dutch DBL
26.04.24	Spirou Charleroi - Donar Groningen	76:74
23.03.24	Donar Groningen - Spirou Charleroi	78:72
BNXT League
15.04.23	Donar Groningen - Spirou Charleroi	69:55
24.03.23	Spirou Charleroi - Donar Groningen	68:71

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