Match Info

NCAA

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	St. Johns Red Storm		Villanova Wildcats

	1	2
	1.25	3.75
	1.28	3.4
	1.29	3.77
	1.3	3.24	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.26	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)	3.58 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 144.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johns Red Storm
73.7%

Villanova Wildcats
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johns Red Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Johns Red Storm's performance.

Villanova Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villanova Wildcats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johns Red Storm than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Johns Red Storm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanova Wildcats than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villanova Wildcats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Johns Red Storm - Villanova Wildcats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:69

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johns won 4.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, St. Johns is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Johns won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1371:1436. (average 68.6:71.8).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Johns won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 596:601. (average 66.2:66.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Johns Red Storm basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.02.26	Connecticut Huskies - St. Johns Red Storm	72:40 ✺
21.02.26	St. Johns Red Storm - Creighton Blue Jays	81:52 ✺
18.02.26	Marquette Golden Eagles - St. Johns Red Storm	70:76 ✺
14.02.26	Providence Friars - St. Johns Red Storm	69:79 ✺
09.02.26	St. Johns Red Storm - Xavier Musketeers	87:82 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWW
- Villanova Wildcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.02.26	Villanova Wildcats - Butler Bulldogs	82:73 ✺
21.02.26	Villanova Wildcats - Connecticut Huskies	63:73 ✺
17.02.26	Xavier Musketeers - Villanova Wildcats	89:92 OT ✺
14.02.26	Creighton Blue Jays - Villanova Wildcats	69:80 ✺
10.02.26	Villanova Wildcats - Marquette Golden Eagles	77:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	Villanova Wildcats - St. Johns Red Storm	79:86
12.02.25	Villanova Wildcats - St. Johns Red Storm	73:71
11.01.25	St. Johns Red Storm - Villanova Wildcats	80:68
24.01.24	St. Johns Red Storm - Villanova Wildcats	70:50
06.01.24	Villanova Wildcats - St. Johns Red Storm	71:81
20.01.23	St. Johns Red Storm - Villanova Wildcats	49:57
21.12.22	Villanova Wildcats - St. Johns Red Storm	78:63

St. Johns Red Storm - Villanova Wildcats: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide