Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stanford Cardinal		North Carolina Tar Heels

	1	2
	2.5	1.56
	2.25	1.58
	2.27	1.58	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.5	1.51
	2.65	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (1.97)	1.54 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 141.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stanford Cardinal
38.6%

North Carolina Tar Heels
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanford Cardinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stanford Cardinal's form might have worsened.

North Carolina Tar Heels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Carolina Tar Heels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanford Cardinal than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stanford Cardinal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Tar Heels than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Carolina Tar Heels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stanford Cardinal - North Carolina Tar Heels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:72

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Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Stanford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, North Carolina has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stanford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 279:324. (average 69.8:81).

Including home matches between the teams, Stanford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 135:163. (average 67.5:81.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanford Cardinal basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Virginia Cavaliers - Stanford Cardinal	70:55 ✺
07.01.26	Virginia Tech Hokies - Stanford Cardinal	68:69 ✺
02.01.26	Stanford Cardinal - Louisville Cardinals	80:76 ✺
30.12.25	Stanford Cardinal - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	40:47 ✺
27.12.25	Stanford Cardinal - Cal State Northridge Matadors	88:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWLW
- North Carolina Tar Heels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Wake Forest Demon Deacons	87:84 ✺
03.01.26	Southern Methodist Mustangs - North Carolina Tar Heels	97:83 ✺
30.12.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - Florida State Seminoles	79:66 ✺
22.12.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - East Carolina Pirates	99:51 ✺
20.12.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - Ohio State Buckeyes	70:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
18.01.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - Stanford Cardinal	71:72
01.12.20	Stanford Cardinal - North Carolina Tar Heels	63:67
12.11.18	North Carolina Tar Heels - Stanford Cardinal	90:72
20.11.17	Stanford Cardinal - North Carolina Tar Heels	72:96

Stanford Cardinal - North Carolina Tar Heels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide