Match Info

NCAA

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Island Federal Credit Union Arena (New York, NY)


	Stony Brook Seawolves		Drexel Dragons

	1	2
	1.54	2.4
	1.55	2.33
	1.6	2.4
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.51	2.5
	1.55	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 (1.55)	2.41 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 133.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stony Brook Seawolves
60.8%

Drexel Dragons
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stony Brook Seawolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Drexel Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stony Brook Seawolves than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stony Brook Seawolves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drexel Dragons than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drexel Dragons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stony Brook Seawolves - Drexel Dragons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:65

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Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Stony Brook might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stony Brook won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 332:367. (average 66.4:73.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Stony Brook won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 118:133. (average 59:66.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stony Brook Seawolves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.26	Towson Tigers - Stony Brook Seawolves	69:57 ✺
07.02.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Northeastern Huskies	69:55 ✺
05.02.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks	75:76 ✺
31.01.26	Elon University Phoenix - Stony Brook Seawolves	68:72 ✺
29.01.26	Campbell Fighting Camels - Stony Brook Seawolves	69:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLWW
- Drexel Dragons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.26	Drexel Dragons - Monmouth Hawks	73:93 ✺
07.02.26	Elon University Phoenix - Drexel Dragons	75:82 ✺
05.02.26	Campbell Fighting Camels - Drexel Dragons	81:60 ✺
31.01.26	Drexel Dragons - North Carolina A&T Aggies	61:60 ✺
29.01.26	Drexel Dragons - Hampton Pirates	58:51 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
08.01.26	Drexel Dragons - Stony Brook Seawolves	56:37
09.01.25	Stony Brook Seawolves - Drexel Dragons	51:67
10.03.24	Drexel Dragons - Stony Brook Seawolves	88:91 OT
29.02.24	Drexel Dragons - Stony Brook Seawolves	90:86
12.01.23	Stony Brook Seawolves - Drexel Dragons	67:66

Stony Brook Seawolves - Drexel Dragons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide