Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Tallinna Kalev		BC Khimki

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.87
	1.97	1.78	Watch
	1.84	1.87
	1.9	1.95
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.92	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.25)	1.85 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
49.3%

BC Khimki
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tallinna Kalev's performance.

BC Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BC Khimki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tallinna Kalev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BC Khimki than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BC Khimki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.1%	0%	7.9%

Tallinna Kalev - BC Khimki Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Kalev will win (votes: 35 - 92.1%). Khimki will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalev: 83.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:84

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Preview

Kalev in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Khimki is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kalev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Kalev to win the game is with odds 1.9.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Kalev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1067-1323.

Including matches at home between the teams Kalev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 516-599.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
11.04.21	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	75:86 ✺
10.04.21	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	83:63 ✺
04.04.21	TLÜ Kalev - Tallinna Kalev	78:100 ✺
02.04.21	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	68:83 ✺
01.04.21	Tallinna Kalev - TalTech	96:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- BC Khimki
VTB United League
14.04.21	BC Khimki - Nizhny Novgorod	64:69 ✺
12.04.21	BC Khimki - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	89:83 ✺
Euroleague
09.04.21	Olympiacos Piraeus - BC Khimki	82:75 ✺
06.04.21	Maccabi Tel Aviv - BC Khimki	92:62 ✺
02.04.21	CSKA Moscow - BC Khimki	97:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VTB United League
05.10.20	BC Khimki - Tallinna Kalev	92:74
15.12.19	BC Khimki - Tallinna Kalev	118:81
29.09.19	Tallinna Kalev - BC Khimki	63:86
17.03.19	Tallinna Kalev - BC Khimki	85:96
14.10.18	BC Khimki - Tallinna Kalev	80:73
01.04.18	BC Khimki - Tallinna Kalev	96:85
07.01.18	Tallinna Kalev - BC Khimki	92:84

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