Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena SamElyon (Samokov)


	Tallinna Kalev		Rilski Sportist

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.86
	1.28	3.46	Watch
	1.43	2.74	Watch
	1.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.9)	2.75 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
65.4%

Rilski Sportist
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tallinna Kalev's performance.

Rilski Sportist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rilski Sportist might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Tallinna Kalev - Rilski Sportist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:77

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Dorbek M.	0. Arnett A.
13. Hermet K.	12. Georgiev A.
9. Kaukiainen S.	3. Stokes K.
42. Rutherford T.	4. Thomas J.
10. Toom H.	23. Vasov M.
Substitutes
5. Acuff T.	35. Bachkov H.
8. Kurbas T.	11. Dimitrov I.
11. Kuuba G.	7. Edwards M.
0. Makke E.	1. Karamfilov D.
15. Miska A.	2. Nikolov B.
1. Rosenthal M.	77. Petrov K.
21. Tongue C.
Coaches
. Reinbok I.	. Kirov L.

Preview

Neutral location.

Kalev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 175:137. (average 87.5:68.5).

Including home match between the teams, Kalev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 88:76.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Tallinna Kalev
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Šiauliai - Tallinna Kalev	70:79 ✺
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
31.05.25	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock	91:75 ✺
29.05.25	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	75:72 ✺
27.05.25	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock	88:81 ✺
22.05.25	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	90:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW
- Rilski Sportist
Club Friendly Basketball
15.09.25	Rilski Sportist - Balkan Botevgrad	97:97 ✺
Bulgarian NBL
31.05.25	Cherno More Port Varna - Rilski Sportist	72:82 ✺
29.05.25	Cherno More Port Varna - Rilski Sportist	89:85 ✺
26.05.25	Rilski Sportist - Cherno More Port Varna	88:87 OT ✺
24.05.25	Rilski Sportist - Cherno More Port Varna	91:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
06.11.24	Tallinna Kalev - Rilski Sportist	88:76
16.10.24	Rilski Sportist - Tallinna Kalev	61:87

Upcoming Matches