Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone (Tartu)


	Tartu Rock		BK Ventspils

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.58	2.25
	1.76	1.98
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.55	2.3
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)	2.22 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Rock
58.2%

BK Ventspils
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Rock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

BK Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Rock than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BK Ventspils than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Tartu Rock - BK Ventspils Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Ventspils (2.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -6.5, OT - Tartu Rock (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tartu Rock (votes: 1 - 50%). Ventspils (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Bernard M.	2. Ausejs A. (C)
9. Lips K.	7. Birkans R.
40. Paasoja M. (C)	24. Bryant Donell T. R.
3. Painter D.	20. Shelton C.
4. Saar H.	30. Zakis R.
Substitutes
16. Andre R.	15. Atanasovs N.
35. Ilver M.	10. Berze R.
11. Jurtsenko K. G.	12. Skilins K.
0. McBride B.	23. Teirumnieks R.
20. Nurger R.	9. Urkis A.
18. Rando R.
2. Valge R.
Coaches
. Kuusmaa A.	. Fogels G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Rock won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Ventspils may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tartu Rock has had a series of home games.

Recently, Ventspils has had a series of away games.

Tartu Rock is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tartu Rock won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1531:1694. (average 76.6:84.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tartu Rock won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 768:816. (average 76.8:81.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu Rock
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
13.12.25	Tartu Rock - Valmiera Glass Via	86:81 ✺
05.12.25	Tartu Rock - Latvijas Universitāte	103:86 ✺
22.11.25	Tartu Rock - Ogre	65:59 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	Tartu Rock - Antwerp Giants	81:91 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
16.11.25	Viimsi - Tartu Rock	86:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW
- BK Ventspils
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
17.12.25	Pärnu - BK Ventspils	73:82 ✺
12.12.25	BK Ventspils - Keila	117:93 ✺
06.12.25	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	92:99 OT ✺
05.12.25	Keila Basket - BK Ventspils	80:81 ✺
21.11.25	TalTech - BK Ventspils	86:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
10.10.25	BK Ventspils - Tartu Rock	75:85
07.03.25	Tartu Rock - BK Ventspils	82:99
01.11.24	BK Ventspils - Tartu Rock	92:93
05.04.24	BK Ventspils - Tartu Rock	103:83
03.04.24	Tartu Rock - BK Ventspils	82:69
29.03.24	BK Ventspils - Tartu Rock	103:69
30.01.24	BK Ventspils - Tartu Rock	92:63

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