Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone (Tartu)


	Tartu Rock		Valmiera Glass Via

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.92
	1.65	2.14
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.67	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	2.05 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Rock
54.7%

Valmiera Glass Via
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Rock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tartu Rock's performance.

Valmiera Glass Via has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valmiera Glass Via might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Rock than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera Glass Via than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Tartu Rock - Valmiera Glass Via Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Andre R.	9. Ate A. (C)
9. Lips K.	12. Kohs V.
0. McBride B.	29. Pajic O.
40. Paasoja M. (C)	3. Stenionis D.
3. Painter D.	5. Tait-Jones A.
Substitutes
8. Bernard M.	4. Dziuba P.
35. Ilver M.	1. Karlsons K.
5. Laane R.	7. Pacher A. J.
20. Nurger R.	2. Sipko M.
18. Rando R.	6. Vitols M.
4. Saar H.
2. Valge R.
Coaches
. Kuusmaa A.	. Vecvagars K.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Rock won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tartu Rock won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1259:1217. (average 83.9:81.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tartu Rock won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 738:709. (average 82:78.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Valmiera Glass Via	4	4	0	381:287	1.000
6	Tartu Ulikool	4	2	2	336:332	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu Rock
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
03.04.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	89:81 ✺
01.04.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock	86:83 ✺
28.03.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	98:85 ✺
23.03.26	Pärnu - Tartu Rock	88:89 OT ✺
20.03.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	80:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW
- Valmiera Glass Via Basketball
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
03.04.26	VEF Riga - Valmiera Glass Via	87:89 ✺
01.04.26	Valmiera Glass Via - VEF Riga	97:83 ✺
29.03.26	VEF Riga - Valmiera Glass Via	79:67 ✺
23.03.26	TalTech - Valmiera Glass Via	74:83 ✺
18.03.26	Valmiera Glass Via - TalTech	105:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
07.03.26	Valmiera Glass Via - Tartu Rock	99:79
13.12.25	Tartu Rock - Valmiera Glass Via	86:81
04.03.25	Tartu Rock - Valmiera Glass Via	69:84
ENBL
05.11.24	Tartu Rock - Valmiera Glass Via	83:101
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
15.10.24	Valmiera Glass Via - Tartu Rock	89:87 OT
06.02.24	Valmiera Glass Via - Tartu Rock	61:69
03.11.23	Tartu Rock - Valmiera Glass Via	93:71

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