Match Info

Basketligaen - Winners stage

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Naestved (Naestved)


	Team FOG Næstved		Horsens

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.85
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.23)	2.99 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Team FOG Næstved
68.8%

Horsens
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Team FOG Næstved has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Team FOG Næstved's form might have worsened.

Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Horsens's recent form is better than expected.

Team FOG Næstved - Horsens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Harris T.	1. Churchill L. (C)
7. Jean-Baptiste D. (C)	13. Harbo A.
0. Okeke I.	22. Johnson I.
35. Searls V.	8. Madsen M.
40. Trumper S.	9. Sorensen M.
Substitutes
23. Ajayi P.	12. Dalgaard B.
1. Bajema C.	3. Edhemovic T.
33. Beier-Christiansen A.	7. Hussein Y.
15. Christensen L.	2. Johnson M.
3. Tabe S.	4. Reid K.
24. Worster R.
Coaches
. Pavlakovich D.	. Borovcanin V.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Næstved won 2.

Næstved is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Horsens has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Næstved has had a series of home games.

In this match, Næstved is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Næstved won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1783:1754. (average 89.2:87.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Næstved won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 897:876. (average 89.7:87.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Team FOG Naestved	3	3	0	308:195	6
6	Horsens	4	2	2	328:333	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team FOG Næstved
Danish Basketligaen
19.02.26	Team FOG Næstved - Holbæk-Stenhus	113:93 ✺
16.02.26	Team FOG Næstved - Bakken Bears	110:103 ✺
08.02.26	Randers Cimbria - Team FOG Næstved	98:116 ✺
05.02.26	Team FOG Næstved - Copenhagen Wolfpack	100:81 ✺
01.02.26	Team FOG Næstved - Horsens	82:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL
- Horsens IC
Danish Basketligaen
19.02.26	Horsens - Bakken Bears	79:88 ✺
14.02.26	Amager - Horsens	92:113 ✺
06.02.26	Horsens - Randers Cimbria	76:78 ✺
01.02.26	Team FOG Næstved - Horsens	82:87 ✺
15.01.26	Horsens - Team FOG Næstved	104:105 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Basketligaen
01.02.26	Team FOG Næstved - Horsens	82:87
15.01.26	Horsens - Team FOG Næstved	104:105 OT
03.04.25	Team FOG Næstved - Horsens	75:92
07.03.25	Horsens - Team FOG Næstved	76:96
13.02.25	Horsens - Team FOG Næstved	93:78
28.11.24	Team FOG Næstved - Horsens	92:82
02.05.24	Team FOG Næstved - Horsens	92:84

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