Match Info

NKL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Telsiu sporto arena (Telsiai)


	Telšiai		Neptūnas-Akvaservis

	1	2
	1.88	1.76
	1.9	1.84
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.85	1.8
	1.76	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.57)	1.81 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telšiai
49.4%

Neptūnas-Akvaservis
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Telšiai's form might have worsened.

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neptūnas-Akvaservis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telšiai than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Telšiai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neptūnas-Akvaservis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Telšiai - Neptūnas Akvaservis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Telšiai will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Neptūnas-Akvaservis will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaminskis O. (C)	6. Jonkus E. (C)
90. Kaveckis L.	77. Lesciauskas K.
11. Meistas V.	16. Macijauskas M.
3. Razutis I.	13. Maciulis R.
31. Small J.	24. Metrikis K.
Substitutes
44. Balciunas T.	28. Remeikis D.
6. Pocius V.	11. Rinkevicius T.
22. Rasys D.	12. Sakaitis R.
4. Rimkus A.	7. Sarakauskas S.
	39. Virkutis J.
	31. Zilius E.
	10. Zymantas A.
Coaches
. Buskevics S.	. Gaidamavicius T.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telšiai won 3.

Telšiai is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Neptūnas-Akvaservis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Neptūnas-Akvaservis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Telšiai won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 633:643. (average 70.3:71.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Telšiai won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 363:362. (average 72.6:72.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Telsiai	3	3	0	264:219	3
11	Neptunas 2	3	1	2	247:240	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Telšiai
Lietuvos NKL
23.03.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Telšiai	78:53 ✺
20.03.26	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	67:61 ✺
14.03.26	Telšiai - Sūduva	68:84 ✺
12.03.26	Rytas 2 - Telšiai	88:65 ✺
07.03.26	Telšiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	72:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis
Lietuvos NKL
23.03.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Telšiai	78:53 ✺
20.03.26	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	67:61 ✺
14.03.26	Šilutė - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	84:85 ✺
07.03.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Plunges Olimpas	100:106 ✺
05.03.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	69:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
23.03.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Telšiai	78:53
20.03.26	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	67:61
10.01.26	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	65:87
27.10.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Telšiai	62:81
12.12.24	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	88:68
17.10.24	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Telšiai	64:73
23.02.18	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	68:79

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