Match Info

National League

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Tobol Kostanay		Barsy Atyrau

	1	2
			Watch
	5.4	1.08	Watch
	6.5	1.1
	6	1.1	Watch
	5.75	1.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.91 ↑ (5.45)	1.09 (1.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobol Kostanay
15.6%

Barsy Atyrau
84.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

83.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Barsy Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Tobol Kostanay - Barsy Atyrau Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tobol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -12.5, OT - Barsy (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tobol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Barsy (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Bitenov A.	50. Ermakov A.
1. Sultanov A.	32. Jackson M.
19. Sych M.	5. Marat A.
12. Valiev T.	40. Mays M.
13. Valiyev R.	33. Omarov A.
Substitutes
11. Bykov A.	27. Baktygali B.
15. Istayev A.	34. Kazimov M.
21. Khassenov R.	35. Kuantaev A.
7. Sotnikov I.	55. Rabchenyuk B.
9. Sulatanov D.	74. Uapov M.
	11. Utegen K.
	95. Zhanibekov A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 1.

Recent form of Tobol has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barsy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Barsy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tobol has had a series of home games.

In this match, Barsy is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1647:1776. (average 82.4:88.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 937:962. (average 85.2:87.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay Basketball
Kazakh National League Basketball
13.02.26	Tobol Kostanay - Barsy Atyrau	92:85 ✺
09.02.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kaspiy Aktau	66:91 ✺
08.02.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kaspiy Aktau	74:83 ✺
27.01.26	Tobol Kostanay - Astana	73:88
26.01.26	Tobol Kostanay - Astana	64:119 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLLLL
- Barsy Atyrau
Kazakh National League Basketball
13.02.26	Tobol Kostanay - Barsy Atyrau	92:85 ✺
03.02.26	Barsy Atyrau - Almaty	90:79 ✺
21.01.26	Barsy Atyrau - Astana	68:97
20.01.26	Barsy Atyrau - Astana	50:79 ✺
12.01.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Barsy Atyrau	73:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh National League Basketball
13.02.26	Tobol Kostanay - Barsy Atyrau	92:85
22.12.25	Barsy Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	94:72
19.11.25	Tobol Kostanay - Barsy Atyrau	56:86
18.11.25	Tobol Kostanay - Barsy Atyrau	60:87
09.03.25	Barsy Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	108:79
08.03.25	Barsy Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	75:84
12.01.20	Tobol Kostanay - Barsy Atyrau	101:82

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