Match Info

Champions League - Winners stage - Round 1

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tofas Spor Salonu (Bursa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Slovakia	Voyo


	Tofaş		ALBA Berlin

	1	2
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.65	2.12	Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)	2.13 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tofaş
56.4%

ALBA Berlin
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tofaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ALBA Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ALBA Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Tofaş - ALBA Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tofaş will win (votes: 3 - 25%). ALBA will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ALBA: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ALBA Berlin will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Gecim T. (C)	5. Griesel S.
3. Saybir Y.	34. Bean J.
22. Blazevic M.	17. Agbakoko N.
2. Perez-Kaufmann A.	9. Mattisseck J.
25. Besson H.	15. Hermannsson M.
Substitutes
1. Cengiz O.	6. Delow M.
0. Floyd J.	14. Echodas M.
15. Kidd L.	33. Hundt B.
30. Korkmaz F.	7. Kayil J.
21. Lewis M.	20. Nufer A.
5. Malic Whaley S.	13. Roberts J.
6. Postel E.	11. Wood M.
Coaches
. Rajkovic E.	. Calles P.

Preview

Recent performances by Tofaş have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ALBA is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tofaş may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tofaş won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 254:302. (average 84.7:100.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tofaş won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 163:195. (average 81.5:97.5).

Outrights of Champions League Basketball for now

Alba Berlin: 2.89%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tofas S.K.
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
18.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Tofaş	90:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
14.01.26	Tofaş - Cholet Basket	84:82 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
11.01.26	Petkim Spor - Tofaş	76:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
09.01.26	Cholet Basket - Tofaş	105:86 ✺
06.01.26	Tofaş - Cholet Basket	89:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW
- ALBA Berlin
German BBL
17.01.26	Rasta Vechta - ALBA Berlin	83:95 ✺
11.01.26	ALBA Berlin - Heidelberg	87:62 ✺
04.01.26	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - ALBA Berlin	76:73 ✺
31.12.25	ALBA Berlin - Lowen Braunschweig	104:73 ✺
29.12.25	ALBA Berlin - Ludwigsburg	80:47 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
15.09.24	Tofaş - ALBA Berlin	62:89
Eurocup
07.11.18	Tofaş - ALBA Berlin	101:106 OT (92:92)
02.10.18	ALBA Berlin - Tofaş	107:91

Tofaş - ALBA Berlin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide