Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Winners stage - Final

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tofas Spor Salonu (Bursa)

Referee: Krejic B. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Slovakia	Voyo


	Tofaş		Cholet Basket

	1	2
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.52	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.39	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.53	2.51	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)	2.52 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tofaş
62.8%

Cholet Basket
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tofaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cholet Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet Basket than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Tofaş - Cholet Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tofaş will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Cholet will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tofaş: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:82

#ad

Preview

Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cholet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tofaş could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tofaş won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 333:328. (average 83.3:82).

Including home matches between the teams, Tofaş won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 173:146. (average 86.5:73).

Outrights of Champions League Basketball for now

Cholet: 2.44%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tofas S.K.
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
11.01.26	Petkim Spor - Tofaş	76:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
09.01.26	Cholet Basket - Tofaş	105:86 ✺
06.01.26	Tofaş - Cholet Basket	89:75 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
02.01.26	Karşıyaka - Tofaş	107:101 OT ✺
26.12.25	Tofaş - Bahcesehir Koleji	92:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW
- Cholet Basket
French LNB
11.01.26	Gravelines - Cholet Basket	97:98 OT ✺
Champions League Basketball
09.01.26	Cholet Basket - Tofaş	105:86 ✺
06.01.26	Tofaş - Cholet Basket	89:75 ✺
French LNB
26.12.25	Le Portel - Cholet Basket	84:94 ✺
23.12.25	Cholet Basket - AS Monaco Basket	72:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
09.01.26	Cholet Basket - Tofaş	105:86
06.01.26	Tofaş - Cholet Basket	89:75
06.03.24	Cholet Basket - Tofaş	77:74
07.02.24	Tofaş - Cholet Basket	84:71

Upcoming Matches