Match Info

Tauihi Women

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Te Rauparaha Arena (ManaPorirua)


	Tokomanawa Queens		Southern Hoiho

	1	2
	1.49	2.37	Watch
	1.32	2.86
	1.40	2.56	Watch
	1.54	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)	2.54 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokomanawa Queens
63.8%

Southern Hoiho
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokomanawa Queens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Southern Hoiho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokomanawa Queens than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Hoiho than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Tokomanawa Queens - Southern Hoiho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Beck S. (C)	22. Bradley P.
12. Davidson P.	9. Gallaher S. (C)
2. Hokianga-Heather P.	14. Harris A.
33. Rogers B.	17. Langton E.
13. Trousdell J.	24. Richards Z.
Substitutes
21. Brown L.	12. Dart L.
6. Burrows P.	10. Edwards J.
0. Hippolite K.	28. Gilbert E.
23. Lupfer R.	11. Jacobs C.
9. Park Ji-Hyun	7. Pavihi T.
47. Toeleiu N.	8. Pizzey R.
3. Wallace K.	3. Simmons T.
Coaches
. Tupu T.	. Marshall T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokomanawa Queens won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Southern Hoiho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tokomanawa Queens is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tokomanawa Queens won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 825:778. (average 75:70.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokomanawa Queens won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 458:396. (average 76.3:66).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokomanawa Queens
New Zealand Tauihi Basketball Women
24.10.25	Mainland Pouakai - Tokomanawa Queens	103:79 ✺
17.10.25	Tokomanawa Queens - Northern Kahu	94:90 ✺
10.10.25	Southern Hoiho - Tokomanawa Queens	80:73 ✺
03.10.25	Tokomanawa Queens - Mainland Pouakai	81:69 ✺
26.09.25	Mid-North Whai - Tokomanawa Queens	78:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Southern Hoiho
New Zealand Tauihi Basketball Women
18.10.25	Southern Hoiho - Northern Kahu	95:86 ✺
10.10.25	Southern Hoiho - Tokomanawa Queens	80:73 ✺
04.10.25	Northern Kahu - Southern Hoiho	69:96 ✺
03.10.25	Mid-North Whai - Southern Hoiho	89:74 ✺
26.09.25	Mainland Pouakai - Southern Hoiho	121:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Tauihi Basketball Women
10.10.25	Southern Hoiho - Tokomanawa Queens	80:73
16.11.24	Tokomanawa Queens - Southern Hoiho	83:88
09.11.24	Southern Hoiho - Tokomanawa Queens	85:86
04.10.24	Tokomanawa Queens - Southern Hoiho	73:68
09.09.23	Tokomanawa Queens - Southern Hoiho	96:89
16.08.23	Southern Hoiho - Tokomanawa Queens	82:71
01.08.23	Southern Hoiho - Tokomanawa Queens	77:60

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