Match Info

Tauihi Women

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Tokomanawa Queens		Mainland Pouakai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.40
	1.22	3.3	Watch
	1.32	3.05
	1.23	3.67	Watch
	1.29	2.95
	1.22	3.49
	1.20	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.64)	3.37 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokomanawa Queens
72.9%

Mainland Pouakai
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokomanawa Queens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokomanawa Queens's performance.

Mainland Pouakai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mainland Pouakai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Tokomanawa Queens - Mainland Pouakai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Collins A.	44. Dale M. (C)
5. Leger-Walker C.	14. Frisby-Smith R.
4. Leger-Walker K. (C)	0. Pivec M.
11. Mikesell T.	1. Vaughn M.
10. Van Lith H.	24. Yaeger M.
Substitutes
1. Cowley A.	17. Ainley E.
21. Flavell M.	8. Cutbush R.
6. Hunter G.	6. Jeffries E.
0. Ikenasio V.	9. Jones A.
25. Lacey-Rameka C.	4. Kraenzlin B.
22. Rhebok A.	12. Mowbray S.
47. Toeleiu N.	7. Timms M.
Coaches
. Tupu T.	. Stojkovic A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokomanawa Queens won 2.

Tokomanawa Queens may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Tokomanawa Queens carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Tokomanawa Queens has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1134:1110 (averaging 81:79.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tokomanawa Queens against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 589:540 goals (averaging 84.1:77.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Mainland Pouakai W	3	2	1	279:239	4
5	Tokomanawa Queens W	2	0	2	146:189	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokomanawa Queens
New Zealand Tauihi Basketball Women
26.09.26	Tokomanawa Queens - Northern Kahu	69:75 ✺
05.12.25	Tokomanawa Queens - Mid-North Whai	76:82 ✺
29.11.25	Northern Kahu - Tokomanawa Queens	72:88 ✺
22.11.25	Tokomanawa Queens - Mid-North Whai	88:82 ✺
15.11.25	Southern Hoiho - Tokomanawa Queens	75:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL
- Mainland Pouakai
New Zealand Tauihi Basketball Women
26.09.26	Mainland Pouakai - Southern Hoiho	87:80 ✺
13.12.25	Mainland Pouakai - Mid-North Whai	66:93 ✺
06.12.25	Mainland Pouakai - Southern Hoiho	99:92 ✺
28.11.25	Mainland Pouakai - Northern Kahu	102:62 ✺
20.11.25	Southern Hoiho - Mainland Pouakai	99:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Tauihi Basketball Women
07.11.25	Tokomanawa Queens - Mainland Pouakai	89:93
24.10.25	Mainland Pouakai - Tokomanawa Queens	103:79
03.10.25	Tokomanawa Queens - Mainland Pouakai	81:69
14.12.24	Mainland Pouakai - Tokomanawa Queens	70:75
06.12.24	Mainland Pouakai - Tokomanawa Queens	87:70
23.11.24	Tokomanawa Queens - Mainland Pouakai	89:97
02.11.24	Mainland Pouakai - Tokomanawa Queens	89:83

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