The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toledo Rockets 53.4%
Bowling Green Falcons 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
55%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toledo Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Bowling Green Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toledo Rockets than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toledo Rockets that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bowling Green Falcons than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bowling Green Falcons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
0%
23.1%
Toledo Rockets - Bowling Green Falcons Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Toledo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Bowling Green will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toledo: 54% – 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Toledo Rockets will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:76
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 2.
Toledo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Bowling Green's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Bowling Green may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Toledo will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1588:1446. (average 79.4:72.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Toledo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 839:729. (average 83.9:72.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Toledo Rockets - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.54%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Bowling Green Falcons - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.46%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.