Match Info

NCAA

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Bowling Green Falcons		Massachusetts Minutemen

	1	2
	1.48	2.55
	1.5	2.45
	1.54	2.56
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.51	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	2.49 (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bowling Green Falcons
62.2%

Massachusetts Minutemen
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bowling Green Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Massachusetts Minutemen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bowling Green Falcons than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bowling Green Falcons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Massachusetts Minutemen than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Massachusetts Minutemen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bowling Green Falcons - Massachusetts Minutemen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:74

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Preview

Bowling Green has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Massachusetts is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bowling Green may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bowling Green is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bowling Green won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 101:100.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bowling Green Falcons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.02.26	Bowling Green Falcons - Western Michigan Broncos	79:88 ✺
20.02.26	Miami OH RedHawks - Bowling Green Falcons	91:77 ✺
17.02.26	Bowling Green Falcons - Kent State Golden Flashes	71:78 ✺
14.02.26	Bowling Green Falcons - Toledo Rockets	80:70 ✺
11.02.26	Northern Illinois Huskies - Bowling Green Falcons	52:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW
- Massachusetts Minutemen basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.02.26	Ball State Cardinals - Massachusetts Minutemen	74:73 OT ✺
21.02.26	Massachusetts Minutemen - Buffalo Bulls	82:86 OT ✺
17.02.26	Massachusetts Minutemen - Miami OH RedHawks	77:86 ✺
13.02.26	Akron Zips - Massachusetts Minutemen	99:92 ✺
07.02.26	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers - Massachusetts Minutemen	94:91 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	Massachusetts Minutemen - Bowling Green Falcons	100:101 OT

Bowling Green Falcons - Massachusetts Minutemen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide