Match Info

AUSTRALIA: WNBL WOMEN

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Townsville Entertainment Centre (Townsville)


	Townsville Fire		Melbourne Boomers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35
	1.41	2.55	Watch
	1.49	2.69
	1.47	2.69
	1.5	2.5
	1.44	2.66
	1.48	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.32)	2.56 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Townsville Fire
63.5%

Melbourne Boomers
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Townsville Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Townsville Fire's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Boomers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Boomers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Townsville Fire than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Townsville Fire, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Boomers than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Boomers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Townsville Fire - Melbourne Boomers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:73

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Townsville won 1.

Townsville in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Melbourne is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melbourne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Townsville have a series of guest games.

Townsville will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Townsville to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 32 head-to-head matches Townsville won 19 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 2372-2250.

Including matches at home between the teams Townsville won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1435-1311.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Townsville Fire
Australian WNBL
16.12.23	Sydney Flames - Townsville Fire	48:70 ✺
14.12.23	Southside Flyers - Townsville Fire	77:105 ✺
10.12.23	Canberra Capitals - Townsville Fire	55:84 ✺
29.11.23	Townsville Fire - Adelaide Lightning	67:61 ✺
25.11.23	Perth Lynx - Townsville Fire	76:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW
- Melbourne Boomers
Australian WNBL
20.12.23	Melbourne Boomers - Sydney Flames	58:86 ✺
16.12.23	Melbourne Boomers - Adelaide Lightning	59:68 ✺
15.12.23	Canberra Capitals - Melbourne Boomers	84:72 ✺
07.12.23	Perth Lynx - Melbourne Boomers	62:93 ✺
02.12.23	Melbourne Boomers - Perth Lynx	63:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian WNBL
15.02.23	Townsville Fire - Melbourne Boomers	101:96 OT
31.12.22	Townsville Fire - Melbourne Boomers	76:86
07.12.22	Melbourne Boomers - Townsville Fire	84:78
25.02.22	Melbourne Boomers - Townsville Fire	88:60
30.01.22	Townsville Fire - Melbourne Boomers	59:66
22.01.22	Melbourne Boomers - Townsville Fire	66:68
18.12.20	Townsville Fire - Melbourne Boomers	65:62

Townsville Fire - Melbourne Boomers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide