Match Info

NBL1 North Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Townsville Flames		Mackay Meteorettes

	1	2
			Watch
	1.88	1.73
	1.89	1.85
	2.60	1.41
	1.93	1.68	Watch
	1.92	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.9)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Townsville Flames
45.1%

Mackay Meteorettes
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Townsville Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Mackay Meteorettes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Townsville Flames than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Townsville Flames, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackay Meteorettes than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mackay Meteorettes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:85

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Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Townsville won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Townsville has had a series of home games.

Recently, Mackay has had a series of away games.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Townsville won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1122:1092. (average 80.1:78).

Including home matches between the teams, Townsville won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 737:696. (average 81.9:77.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Townsville Flames Women
Australian NBL1 North Women
08.08.26	Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes	82:76 ✺
07.08.26	Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes	78:107 ✺
01.08.26	Cairns Dolphins - Townsville Flames	90:94 ✺
24.07.26	Townsville Flames - Southern Districts Spartans	85:83 ✺
18.07.26	Townsville Flames - Rockhampton Cyclones	111:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW
- Mackay Meteorettes Women
Australian NBL1 North Women
08.08.26	Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes	82:76 ✺
07.08.26	Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes	78:107 ✺
01.08.26	Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteorettes	87:88 ✺
25.07.26	Mackay Meteorettes - Northside Wizards	94:87 ✺
18.07.26	Gold Coast Rollers - Mackay Meteorettes	69:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 North Women
08.08.26	Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes	82:76
07.08.26	Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes	78:107
03.07.26	Mackay Meteorettes - Townsville Flames	78:88
22.05.26	Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes	83:95
04.07.25	Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes	70:67
10.05.25	Mackay Meteorettes - Townsville Flames	85:74
11.05.24	Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes	101:73

Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide