Match Info

Lega A - Round 15

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaVerde (Villorba)

Referee: Attard M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Treviso Basket		Varese

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	2.02	Watch
	1.75	2.03	Watch
	1.75	2.1
	1.75	2.14	Watch
	1.68	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 (1.74)	2.07 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treviso Basket
54.3%

Varese
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treviso Basket than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Treviso Basket - Varese Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Treviso will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Varese will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Varese (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Varese will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Varese (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Abdur-Rahkman M.	2. Alviti D.
31. Olisevicius O.	11. Iroegbu I.
12. Pinkins K.	8. Nkamhoua O.
43. Radosevic L.	15. Renfro N.
2. Weber B.	1. Stewart C.
Substitutes
15. Chillo M.	19. Bergamin M.
22. Guidolin C.	55. Freeman A.
11. Miaschi F.	34. Ladurner M.
29. Pellegrino F.	13. Librizzi M.
3. Perkins T.	4. Moore T.
44. Spinazze T.	7. N'Guessan E.
9. Torresani D.	5. Villa M.
Coaches
. Nicola M.	. Kastritis I.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treviso won 2.

Recent form of Treviso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Varese is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Treviso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Treviso won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1056:1059. (average 81.2:81.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Treviso won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 548:549. (average 78.3:78.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Treviso	2	2	0	202:184	4
6	Varese	3	2	1	239:251	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
05.01.26	Venezia - Treviso Basket	87:66 ✺
28.12.25	Treviso Basket - Dinamo Sassari	89:92 ✺
21.12.25	Udine - Treviso Basket	86:79 ✺
14.12.25	Treviso Basket - Cantù	86:81 ✺
07.12.25	Treviso Basket - Trapani	82:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.01.26	Varese - Napoli Basket	84:80 ✺
28.12.25	Trapani - Varese	88:95 ✺
21.12.25	Varese - Trieste	84:69 ✺
14.12.25	Basket Brescia - Varese	102:94 ✺
08.12.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Varese	79:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
23.03.25	Treviso Basket - Varese	88:86
12.01.25	Varese - Treviso Basket	92:89
28.04.24	Varese - Treviso Basket	95:100
06.01.24	Treviso Basket - Varese	96:101
02.04.23	Treviso Basket - Varese	95:97
30.10.22	Varese - Treviso Basket	87:85
10.04.22	Varese - Treviso Basket	80:89

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