Match Info

Lega A - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: PalaTrieste (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Italy	LBA TV


	Trieste		Basket Brescia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.22	1.6	Watch
	2.28	1.64
	2.22	1.63	Watch
	2.3	1.65
	2.28	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.15)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trieste
42.2%

Basket Brescia
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trieste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Basket Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Brescia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Trieste - Basket Brescia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trieste (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Trieste will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Bannan J.	2. Bilan M.
22. Brown M.	25. Cournooh D.
37. Ramsey J.	18. Ivanovic N.
4. Ross C.	9. Ndour M.
11. Sissoko M.	23. Rivers D.
Substitutes
23. Brooks J.	10. Burnell J.
13. Candussi F.	8. Della V. A.
8. Deangeli L.	3. Ferrero G.
18. Iannuzzi P.	21. Mobio J.
25. Moretti D.	55. Nunn J.
10. Ruzzier M.	7. Santinon M.
1. Toscano-Anderson J.	15. Toure P.
Coaches
. Taccetti F.	. Cotelli M.

Preview

Brescia leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 1.

Recent form of Trieste has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brescia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1585:1691. (average 79.3:84.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Trieste won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 709:729. (average 78.8:81).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
12	Trieste	2	0	2	161:170	0

Last Results with these Odds

Basket Brescia - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.39%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Trieste 2004
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.05.26	Trieste - Basket Brescia	80:84 ✺
18.05.26	Basket Brescia - Trieste	90:82 ✺
16.05.26	Basket Brescia - Trieste	90:92 ✺
10.05.26	Trieste - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	89:94 ✺
03.05.26	Olimpia Milano - Trieste	86:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLL
- Basket Brescia
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.05.26	Trieste - Basket Brescia	80:84 ✺
18.05.26	Basket Brescia - Trieste	90:82 ✺
16.05.26	Basket Brescia - Trieste	90:92 ✺
10.05.26	Basket Brescia - Dinamo Sassari	92:71 ✺
03.05.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Brescia	88:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
21.05.26	Trieste - Basket Brescia	80:84
18.05.26	Basket Brescia - Trieste	90:82
16.05.26	Basket Brescia - Trieste	90:92
19.04.26	Trieste - Basket Brescia	82:86
09.11.25	Basket Brescia - Trieste	98:75
24.05.25	Trieste - Basket Brescia	88:92 OT
22.05.25	Trieste - Basket Brescia	70:80

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