Match Info

Lega A - Round 7

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaFerraris (Casale Monferrato)

Referee: Lucotti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Derthona Basket Tortona		Varese

	1	2
			Watch
	1.19	4.8	Watch
	1.15	4.95
	1.25	3.53	Watch
	1.25	4.14	Watch
	1.23	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.23)	4.33 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona Basket Tortona
78.1%

Varese
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.6%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese Predictions

Users Predictions: Derthona Basket Tortona will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Gorham J.	55. Freeman A.
3. Hubb P.	42. Moody S.
17. Olejniczak D.	4. Moore T.
25. Riismaa J.	8. Nkamhoua O.
1. Vital C.	15. Renfro N.
Substitutes
13. Baldasso T.	2. Alviti D.
19. Biligha P.	11. Iroegbu I.
7. Chapman B.	34. Ladurner M.
10. Di Meo E.	13. Librizzi M.
6. Pecchia A.	7. N'Guessan E.
12. Strautins A.	99. Tornese F.
11. Tandia L.	5. Villa M.
Coaches
. Fioretti M.	. Kastritis I.

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 5.

Tortona is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Varese is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tortona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tortona is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 893:847. (average 89.3:84.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tortona won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 484:433. (average 96.8:86.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
02.11.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Napoli Basket	87:76 ✺
25.10.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Trapani	108:100 ✺
19.10.25	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	89:75 ✺
12.10.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Treviso Basket	107:95 ✺
05.10.25	Olimpia Milano - Derthona Basket Tortona	71:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWW
- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.11.25	Varese - Virtus Bologna	77:83 ✺
02.11.25	Venezia - Varese	86:75 ✺
25.10.25	Varese - Basket Trento	74:85 ✺
19.10.25	Reggiana - Varese	103:79 ✺
11.10.25	Varese - Olimpia Milano	61:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
06.09.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	98:78
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.03.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	89:82 OT
06.10.24	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	95:105
24.03.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	90:83
15.10.23	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	78:80
05.02.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	103:91
02.01.23	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	88:89

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