Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	UC Davis Aggies		Sacramento State Hornets

	1	2
	1.45	2.8
	1.43	2.7
	1.45	2.84
			Watch
	1.45	2.74
	1.42	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)	2.75 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UC Davis Aggies
65.6%

Sacramento State Hornets
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UC Davis Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sacramento State Hornets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

UC Davis Aggies - Sacramento State Hornets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UC Davis won 2.

Sacramento State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

UC Davis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, UC Davis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 827:809. (average 63.6:62.2).

Including home matches between the teams, UC Davis won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 384:393. (average 54.9:56.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Davis Aggies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
09.11.25	Portland Pilots - UC Davis Aggies	67:63 ✺
05.11.25	UC Davis Aggies - North Dakota State Bison	80:68 ✺
12.03.25	UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs	76:86 ✺
08.03.25	UC Davis Aggies - UC San Diego Tritons	57:68 ✺
06.03.25	UC Davis Aggies - UC Irvine Anteaters	59:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- Sacramento State Hornets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.11.25	Sacramento State Hornets - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	87:92 ✺
07.11.25	Sacramento State Hornets - William Jessup Warriors	86:76
08.03.25	Weber State Wildcats - Sacramento State Hornets	83:70 ✺
03.03.25	Portland State Vikings - Sacramento State Hornets	59:56 ✺
01.03.25	Sacramento State Hornets - Montana State Bobcats	60:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.12.24	Sacramento State Hornets - UC Davis Aggies	62:69
26.11.23	UC Davis Aggies - Sacramento State Hornets	63:69
22.11.22	UC Davis Aggies - Sacramento State Hornets	82:71
23.11.21	Sacramento State Hornets - UC Davis Aggies	75:63
20.11.19	UC Davis Aggies - Sacramento State Hornets	51:61
20.11.18	UC Davis Aggies - Sacramento State Hornets	55:58
21.11.17	Sacramento State Hornets - UC Davis Aggies	47:64

UC Davis Aggies - Sacramento State Hornets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide