Match Info

NCAA

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	UC San Diego Tritons		UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

	1	2
	1.59	2.45
	1.52	2.33
	1.59	2.42
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.53	2.4
	1.51	2.5
	1.58	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.41)	2.4 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UC San Diego Tritons
60.7%

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UC San Diego Tritons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UC San Diego Tritons's form might have worsened.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UC Santa Barbara Gauchos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UC San Diego Tritons than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UC Santa Barbara Gauchos than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

UC San Diego Tritons - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:70

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UC San Diego won 5.

Recent performances by UC San Diego have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

UC Santa Barbara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

UC San Diego might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, UC San Diego won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 740:797. (average 67.3:72.5).

Including home matches between the teams, UC San Diego won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 363:330. (average 72.6:66).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

UC Santa Barbara: 0.22% UC San Diego: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC San Diego Tritons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.01.26	UC San Diego Tritons - UC Irvine Anteaters	59:61 ✺
22.01.26	UC Davis Aggies - UC San Diego Tritons	74:80 ✺
17.01.26	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - UC San Diego Tritons	62:83 ✺
15.01.26	UC San Diego Tritons - Cal State Northridge Matadors	79:84 ✺
10.01.26	UC Riverside Highlanders - UC San Diego Tritons	66:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.01.26	Long Beach State 49ers - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	71:74 ✺
22.01.26	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Cal Poly Mustangs	107:67 ✺
17.01.26	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Hawaii Warriors	77:62 ✺
15.01.26	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	69:75 ✺
08.01.26	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - UC Davis Aggies	86:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.03.25	UC San Diego Tritons - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	69:51
23.01.25	UC San Diego Tritons - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	77:63
05.12.24	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - UC San Diego Tritons	76:84
15.02.24	UC San Diego Tritons - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	61:46
04.01.24	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - UC San Diego Tritons	72:79
25.02.23	UC San Diego Tritons - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	71:87
31.12.22	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - UC San Diego Tritons	82:61

UC San Diego Tritons - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos