Match Info

NCAA

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos		Cal Poly Mustangs

	1	2
	1.22	4.5
	1.2	4.25
	1.24	3.76	Watch
	1.2	4.5
	1.21	4.27
	1.22	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 (1.22)	4.3 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
78%

Cal Poly Mustangs
22%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Cal Poly Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Cal Poly Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:76

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UC Santa Barbara won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

UC Santa Barbara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, UC Santa Barbara is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UC Santa Barbara won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1363:1165. (average 68.2:58.3).

Including home matches between the teams, UC Santa Barbara won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 805:669. (average 67.1:55.8).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

UC Santa Barbara: 0.22% Cal Poly: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Hawaii Warriors	77:62 ✺
15.01.26	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	69:75 ✺
08.01.26	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - UC Davis Aggies	86:93 ✺
03.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	74:65 ✺
01.01.26	Cal State Fullerton Titans - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	95:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLL
- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
15.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - Hawaii Warriors	66:86 ✺
10.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies	84:78 ✺
08.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs	95:90 ✺
03.01.26	Long Beach State 49ers - Cal Poly Mustangs	74:66 ✺
01.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC San Diego Tritons	67:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
27.02.25	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Cal Poly Mustangs	96:77
11.01.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	72:75
29.02.24	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Cal Poly Mustangs	83:75
06.01.24	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	52:61
09.03.23	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Cal Poly Mustangs	64:54
02.02.23	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Cal Poly Mustangs	68:62
07.01.23	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	57:62

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Cal Poly Mustangs