Match Info

ACB - Round 24

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Palacio de Deportes de Murcia (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	UCAM Murcia		Bilbao Basket

	1	2
	1.29	3.3	Watch
	1.34	3.15	Watch
	1.37	3.21
	1.36	3.05	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.38	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.32)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
70%

Bilbao Basket
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bilbao Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bilbao Basket than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

UCAM Murcia - Bilbao Basket Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 167.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Cate E.	11. Hilliard D.
5. DeJulius D.	32. Hlinason T.
30. Martin K.	7. Jaworski J.
12. Radebaugh J.	19. Pantzar M. J.
8. Sant-Roos H.	18. Petrasek L.
Substitutes
0. Cacok D.	13. Bagayoko B.
31. Ennis D.	4. De Castro K.
13. Falk W.	22. Font A.
1. Forrest M.	10. Krampelj M.
16. Lopez R.	73. Lazarevic S.
3. Martinez J. T.	2. Normantas M.
99. Nakic T.	20. Sylla A.
Coaches
. Alonso S.	. Ponsarnau J.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Murcia is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1625:1524. (average 81.3:76.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 847:730. (average 84.7:73).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Murcia: 1.59% Bilbao: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Bilbao	2	1	1	208:196	2
11	Murcia	2	1	1	177:178	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
21.03.26	Basquet Manresa - UCAM Murcia	86:90 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
18.03.26	UCAM Murcia - Reggiana	77:63 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.03.26	UCAM Murcia - Gran Canaria 2014	87:76 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
11.03.26	Reggiana - UCAM Murcia	84:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
08.03.26	Valencia - UCAM Murcia	110:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL
- Bilbao Basket
Spanish ACB League
21.03.26	BC Andorra - Bilbao Basket	98:102 OT ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
18.03.26	Bilbao Basket - Petkim Spor	85:60 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.03.26	Bilbao Basket - CB Breogán	100:90 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
11.03.26	Petkim Spor - Bilbao Basket	69:77 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.03.26	San Pablo Burgos - Bilbao Basket	96:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
10.01.26	Bilbao Basket - UCAM Murcia	96:82
27.04.25	Bilbao Basket - UCAM Murcia	80:83 OT
05.10.24	UCAM Murcia - Bilbao Basket	89:83 OT
03.02.24	UCAM Murcia - Bilbao Basket	96:76
08.10.23	Bilbao Basket - UCAM Murcia	77:68
14.05.23	UCAM Murcia - Bilbao Basket	67:55
Champions League Basketball
21.03.23	Bilbao Basket - UCAM Murcia	67:71

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