Match Info

ACB - Round 6

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Palau Municipal d'Esports de Badalona (Badalona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4


	Joventut Badalona		Real Madrid

	1	2
	2.65	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.75	1.47
	2.81	1.37	Watch
	2.54	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.81)	1.48 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joventut Badalona
35.6%

Real Madrid
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joventut Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Joventut Badalona - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Birgander S.	6. Abalde A.
24. Hunt C.	7. Campazzo F.
1. Kraag Y.	1. Kramer D.
9. Rubio R.	0. Lyles T.
23. Ruzic M.	22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
21. Allen M.	14. Deck G.
17. Dekker S.	24. Feliz A.
0. Drell H.	16. Garuba U.
12. Hakanson L.	25. Len A.
88. Hanga A.	23. Llull S.
44. Tomic A.	12. Maledon T.
16. Vives G.	9. Procida G.
Coaches
. Miret D.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joventut won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Real Madrid will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Joventut won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1550:1793. (average 77.5:89.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Joventut won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 653:788. (average 72.6:87.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 67.22%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joventut Badalona
Champions League Basketball
05.11.25	Bursaspor - Joventut Badalona	68:79 ✺
Spanish ACB League
02.11.25	Joventut Badalona - Força Lleida CE	82:68 ✺
26.10.25	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	102:90 ✺
Champions League Basketball
22.10.25	Joventut Badalona - Bursaspor	94:67 ✺
Spanish ACB League
19.10.25	Joventut Badalona - Bilbao Basket	101:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW
- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
07.11.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	92:101 ✺
Spanish ACB League
02.11.25	Basket Zaragoza - Real Madrid	83:95 ✺
Euroleague
30.10.25	Real Madrid - Fenerbahçe	84:58 ✺
28.10.25	Bayern München - Real Madrid	90:84 ✺
Spanish ACB League
26.10.25	Real Madrid - Basquet Manresa	87:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
02.02.25	Real Madrid - Joventut Badalona	86:73
01.12.24	Joventut Badalona - Real Madrid	80:76
14.04.24	Real Madrid - Joventut Badalona	95:92
23.12.23	Joventut Badalona - Real Madrid	73:101
12.06.23	Joventut Badalona - Real Madrid	73:94
10.06.23	Joventut Badalona - Real Madrid	73:83
08.06.23	Real Madrid - Joventut Badalona	90:73

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