Match Info

World Cup Women - Round 1

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Max-Schmeling-Halle (Berlin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 2
Australia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus, Oneplay
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	beIN Sports 2
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	DAZN
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
World	FIBA TV


	USA W		China W

	1	2
			Watch
	1.00	17.00
	1.00	20.00	Watch
	1.02	23.89
	1.02	23.66
	1.02	11.00
	1.01	17.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↑ (1.01)	18.76 ↑ (13.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-30)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

USA W
94.9%

China W
5.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

93.1%

6.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

China W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

USA W - China W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:66

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Young J. Las Vegas Aces	11. Luo Xinyu
11. Collier N. Minnesota Lynx	18. Chen Mingling Guangdong
10. Stewart B. (C) New York Liberty	15. Han Xu New York Liberty
8. Gray C. Las Vegas Aces	6. Yang Shuyu Guangdong
7. Copper K. Phoenix Mercury	1. Zhang M. Sichuan
Substitutes
14. Boston A. Indiana Fever	12. Chen Yujie (C)
4. Bueckers P. Dallas Wings	31. Jia Saiqi Sichuan
5. Citron S. Washington Mystics	4. Li Yuan
12. Clark C. Indiana Fever	20. Sun Yu
6. Howard R. Atlanta Dream	9. Tang Ziting Sichuan
9. Iriafen K. Washington Mystics	5. Wang Siyu Sichuan
15. Reese A. Atlanta Dream	19. Zhang Ziyu
Coaches
. Lawson K.	. Luming G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 5.

USA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, USA is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, USA won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 452:330. (average 75.3:55).

Last Results with these Odds

USA W - the odds 1.01 are the expected chance of winning is 93.07%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA W basketball
World Cup Basketball Women
17.03.26	Spain W - USA W	70:84 ✺
15.03.26	New Zealand W - USA W	46:101 ✺
14.03.26	USA W - Italy W	93:59 ✺
12.03.26	Puerto Rico W - USA W	48:91 ✺
11.03.26	USA W - Senegal W	110:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWW
- China W basketball
Friendly International Basketball Women
21.08.26	Italy W - China W	88:76 ✺
12.08.26	China W - Nigeria W	77:88 ✺
World Cup Basketball Women
17.03.26	China W - Brazil W	83:71 ✺
15.03.26	Czech Republic W - China W	74:84 ✺
14.03.26	China W - South Sudan W	86:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Cup Basketball Women
01.10.22	China W - USA W	61:83
24.09.22	USA W - China W	77:63
23.09.18	China W - USA W	88:100
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
14.08.16	China W - USA W	62:105
World Cup Basketball Women
27.09.14	China W - USA W	56:87
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
05.08.12	China W - USA W	N/A

USA W - China W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide