Match Info

World Cup Women - Qualification - Round 3

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: José Miguel Agrelot Coliseum (San Juan)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports MAX 5


	USA W		Italy W

	1	2
	1	10
	1.03	11.71
			Watch
	1.02	10.5
	1.02	11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↑ (1.01)	10.8 ↓ (12.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-25)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA W
91.4%

Italy W
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

92.5%

7.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

USA W - Italy W Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +24.5, OT - Italy (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 145.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +24.5 - Italy (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:61

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Copper K. Phoenix Mercury	9. Zandalasini C. Schio
10. Howard R. Atlanta Dream	0. Keys J. Schio
6. Hamby D.	13. Cubaj L. Venezia
8. Gray C. (C) Las Vegas Aces	8. Verona C. Schio
13. Young J. Las Vegas Aces	6. Pasa F. Venezia
Substitutes
14. Billings M. Fenerbahce	22. Andre O. Schio
4. Bueckers P. Dallas Wings	19. Fassina M. Venezia
11. Burrell R. Los Angeles Sparks	77. Kacerik M. San Giovanni
12. Clark C. Indiana Fever	14. Madera S. Campobasso
15. Iriafen K. Washington Mystics	11. Pan F. Venezia
5. Plum K. Los Angeles Sparks	18. Santucci M. Venezia
9. Reese A. Chicago Sky	23. Spreafico L. (C) Perfumerias Avenida
Coaches
. Lawson K.	. Capobianco A.

Preview

In this match, USA is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA W basketball
World Cup Basketball Women
12.03.26	Puerto Rico W - USA W	48:91 ✺
11.03.26	USA W - Senegal W	110:46 ✺
AmeriCup Basketball Women
06.07.25	Brazil W - USA W	84:92 ✺
05.07.25	USA W - Canada W	65:53 ✺
04.07.25	USA W - Dominican Republic W	110:44 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- Italy W basketball
World Cup Basketball Women
12.03.26	New Zealand W - Italy W	51:74 ✺
11.03.26	Italy W - Puerto Rico W	78:41 ✺
EuroBasket Women
29.06.25	France W - Italy W	54:69 ✺
27.06.25	Italy W - Belgium W	64:66 ✺
24.06.25	Italy W - Turkey W	76:74 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLW

USA W - Italy W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide