Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 3

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Ukraine		Spain

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.32	Watch
	3.24	1.29
	3.05	1.36	Watch
	3	1.33
	2.93	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (3.04)	1.34 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ukraine
30.4%

Spain
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ukraine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Ukraine - Spain Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ukraine will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Spain will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6.5, OT - Ukraine (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ukraine (votes: 1 - 50%). Spain (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Kovliar O. Buducnost	1. Cardenas A. Peristeri
7. Lukashov D. Rigas Zelli	7. Fernandez J. Tenerife
44. Skapintsev D. Hapoel Jerusalem	35. Guerra F. Tenerife
5. Tkachenko I. Zadar	12. Martinez S. Basquet Girona
17. Voinalovych A. Sabah Baku	22. Yusta S. Zaragoza
Substitutes
13. Bobrov V. Dinamo Bucharest	13. Almansa Perez I. Real Madrid
0. Bublyk M. Kyiv Basket	10. Alonso F. Rio Breogan
11. Lypovyy O. Rapid Bucuresti	6. Bassas F. Manresa
23. Pustovyi A. MoraBanc Andorra	17. Nogues Gonzalez I. Valencia
14. Shelist D. Oviedo	29. Oriola P. Manresa
34. Tyrtyshnik I.	5. Pauli O. Forca Lleida
45. Zotov V. Kapfenberg Bulls	8. Reyes A. Manresa

Preview

Neutral location.

In this match, Spain is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Spain: Aldama S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ukraine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 357:373. (average 71.4:74.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ukraine basketball
World Championship Basketball
30.11.25	Ukraine - Denmark	88:71 ✺
27.11.25	Georgia - Ukraine	79:92 ✺
20.08.25	Slovakia - Ukraine	86:98 ✺
16.08.25	Ukraine - Switzerland	73:64 ✺
09.08.25	Ukraine - Slovakia	80:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWW
- Spain basketball
World Championship Basketball
30.11.25	Spain - Georgia	90:61 ✺
27.11.25	Denmark - Spain	64:74 ✺
EuroBasket
04.09.25	Spain - Greece	86:90 ✺
02.09.25	Italy - Spain	67:63 ✺
31.08.25	Spain - Cyprus	91:47 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
07.07.22	Ukraine - Spain	76:77
24.02.22	Spain - Ukraine	88:74
02.12.18	Spain - Ukraine	72:68
14.09.18	Ukraine - Spain	76:65
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.14	Spain - Ukraine	71:63

Ukraine - Spain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide