The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ulsan Mobis Phoebus 34.1%
Wonju Dongbu Promy 65.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.9%
55.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulsan Mobis Phoebus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulsan Mobis Phoebus's form might have worsened.
Wonju Dongbu Promy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wonju Dongbu Promy's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Mobis Phoebus than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan Mobis Phoebus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wonju Dongbu Promy than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wonju Dongbu Promy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Phoebus won 1.
In recent outings, Ulsan Phoebus has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Dongbu Promy shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ulsan Phoebus has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1629:1684 (averaging 81.5:84.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ulsan Phoebus against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 825:828 goals (averaging 82.5:82.8 per game).
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Lee Seung-Hyun 
Alvano E. 
Abadiano G. 
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