Match Info

ACB - Round 11

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena (Málaga)

Referee: Fernandez F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Portugal	DAZN 4
Spain	DAZN Espana


	Unicaja Malaga		Baskonia

	1	2
	1.32	3.3	Watch
	1.35	3.05
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.42	2.95	Watch
	1.35	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.48)	3.04 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unicaja Malaga
68.9%

Baskonia
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unicaja Malaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unicaja Malaga than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Unicaja Malaga - Baskonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Unicaja will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Baskonia will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baskonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Barreiro J.	17. Radzevicius G.
3. Webb J. III	25. Frisch C.
2. Balcerowski A.	18. Diop K.
4. Kalinoski T.	2. Simmons K.
55. Perry K.	4. Villar R.
Substitutes
1. Audige C.	1. Diakite M.
9. Diaz A.	0. Howard M.
27. Duarte C.	9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
0. Perez T.	5. Omoruyi E.
21. Rubit A.
19. Sulejmanovic E.
33. Tillie K.
Coaches
. Navarro I.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unicaja won 4.

Unicaja is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Baskonia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Unicaja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Unicaja is the team to beat.

We predict that Unicaja will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unicaja won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1643:1719. (average 82.2:86).

Including home matches between the teams, Unicaja won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 714:735. (average 79.3:81.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Unicaja Malaga - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.97%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unicaja Málaga
Champions League Basketball
17.12.25	Unicaja Malaga - Karditsas	115:84 ✺
Spanish ACB League
13.12.25	Unicaja Malaga - San Pablo Burgos	99:91 ✺
Champions League Basketball
09.12.25	Oostende - Unicaja Malaga	73:89 ✺
Spanish ACB League
06.12.25	Força Lleida CE - Unicaja Malaga	88:89 ✺
22.11.25	Unicaja Malaga - Basquet Manresa	105:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
19.12.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	134:124 OT ✺
17.12.25	Baskonia - AS Monaco Basket	85:73 ✺
11.12.25	Real Madrid - Baskonia	94:87 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.12.25	Baskonia - Valencia	89:91 ✺
Euroleague
05.12.25	Baskonia - Olimpia Milano	88:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
02.02.25	Unicaja Malaga - Baskonia	94:73
22.12.24	Baskonia - Unicaja Malaga	88:90
21.04.24	Unicaja Malaga - Baskonia	95:91
22.10.23	Baskonia - Unicaja Malaga	84:93
12.02.23	Unicaja Malaga - Baskonia	81:89 OT
30.09.22	Baskonia - Unicaja Malaga	103:89
30.04.22	Unicaja Malaga - Baskonia	72:73

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