Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 5

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Antel Arena (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Sweden	DAZN


	Uruguay		Argentina

	1	2
	5.50	1.13	Watch
	4.20	1.20
	4.50	1.16	Watch
	5.46	1.10
	5.22	1.13	Watch
	5.40	1.08
	4.88	1.16
	5.80	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (2.06)	1.14 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay
18.1%

Argentina
81.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uruguay's form might have worsened.

Argentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentina's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Uruguay - Argentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Uruguay will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Argentina will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Gomez P. Nacional	12. Bolmaro L. Milano
14. Rodriguez J. Penarol (Uruguay)	9. Brussino N. Gran Canaria
10. Serres E. Penarol (Uruguay)	1. Caffaro F. Boca Juniors
59. Taboada J. San Pablo Burgos	7. Campazzo F. Real Madrid
25. Vescovi S. Penarol (Uruguay)	14. Deck G. Real Madrid
Substitutes
45. Bianchi M. Defensor	18. Bressan G. Olimpico
11. Capalbo L. Fibwi Palma	10. Corbalan G. San Pablo Burgos
35. Iglesias G. Bigua	21. Fernandez J. Basquet Girona
30. Martinez N. Malvin	8. Laprovittola N. Barcelona
8. Pomoli N. Penarol (Uruguay)	6. Marcos J. Barcelona
9. Rodriguez L. Minas	22. Vaulet J. Estudiantes
42. Rojas M. Penarol (Uruguay)	11. Vildoza J. Basquet Girona
Coaches
. Jauri G.	. Prigioni P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uruguay won 2.

Argentina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Uruguay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1040:1199. (average 74.3:85.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay basketball
World Championship Basketball
02.03.26	Cuba - Uruguay	62:88 ✺
27.02.26	Argentina - Uruguay	44:61 ✺
30.11.25	Uruguay - Panama	84:82 ✺
27.11.25	Panama - Uruguay	60:93 ✺
AmeriCup Basketball
28.08.25	USA - Uruguay	83:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWL
- Argentina basketball
World Championship Basketball
02.03.26	Argentina - Panama	101:75 ✺
27.02.26	Argentina - Uruguay	44:61 ✺
01.12.25	Argentina - Cuba	105:49 ✺
27.11.25	Cuba - Argentina	68:80 ✺
AmeriCup Basketball
31.08.25	Argentina - Brazil	47:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Argentina - Uruguay	44:61
Pan American Games Basketball
31.07.19	Argentina - Uruguay	102:65
Friendly International Basketball
26.07.19	Argentina - Uruguay	92:64
World Championship Basketball
01.07.18	Uruguay - Argentina	58:102
23.02.18	Argentina - Uruguay	83:88
Friendly International Basketball
20.08.17	Argentina - Uruguay	92:74
13.08.17	Uruguay - Argentina	87:78

Uruguay - Argentina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide