Match Info

NCAA

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Utah State Aggies		New Mexico Lobos

	1	2
	1.26	3.7
	1.3	3.25
	1.33	3.52
	1.32	3.13	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.3	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.37)	3.43 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utah State Aggies
72.5%

New Mexico Lobos
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utah State Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

New Mexico Lobos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah State Aggies than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utah State Aggies that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico Lobos than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Mexico Lobos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:74

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utah State won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Utah State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Utah State is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utah State won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1556:1452. (average 77.8:72.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Utah State won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 732:660. (average 81.3:73.3).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Utah State: 0.22% New Mexico: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utah State Aggies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.03.26	UNLV Rebels - Utah State Aggies	92:65 ✺
28.02.26	Utah State Aggies - Grand Canyon Antelopes	74:69 ✺
25.02.26	San Diego State Aztecs - Utah State Aggies	89:72 ✺
21.02.26	Nevada Wolf Pack - Utah State Aggies	80:77 ✺
18.02.26	Utah State Aggies - Boise State Broncos	75:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLW
- New Mexico Lobos basketball
NCAA College Basketball
04.03.26	New Mexico Lobos - Colorado State Rams	74:82 ✺
28.02.26	New Mexico Lobos - San Diego State Aztecs	81:76 ✺
24.02.26	Nevada Wolf Pack - New Mexico Lobos	67:60 ✺
21.02.26	Fresno State Bulldogs - New Mexico Lobos	78:80 ✺
17.02.26	New Mexico Lobos - Air Force Falcons	98:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
04.02.26	New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies	66:86
16.02.25	New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies	82:79
01.02.25	Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos	63:82
09.03.24	Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos	87:85
16.01.24	New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies	99:86
09.03.23	Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos	91:76
01.02.23	Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos	84:73

Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos