Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Round 1

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Arena Riga (Riga)

Referee: Anaya J. (Pan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovakia	Voyo


	VEF Riga		Baskets Bonn

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.58
	2.39	1.55	Watch
	2.3	1.57
	2.41	1.54	Watch
	2.37	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.07)	1.54 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VEF Riga
39.3%

Baskets Bonn
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VEF Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VEF Riga's form might have worsened.

Baskets Bonn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baskets Bonn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VEF Riga than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VEF Riga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baskets Bonn than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baskets Bonn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

VEF Riga - Baskets Bonn Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. VEF will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bonn will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Bertans Dai.	4. Fleming Jr. P.
3. Bobrov V.	2. Griesel S.
0. Cleary H.	13. Hume B.
40. Lawrence J.	54. Kennedy T.
30. Sanon Y.	19. Pape T.
Substitutes
33. Berkolds R.	6. Allegri A.
1. Bumeisters R.	1. Bahre J.
20. Davis G.	55. Kazakevicius D.
13. Gulbis M.	0. McGhee D.
17. Pinnis P.	24. Muller J.
16. Soldatenoks K.	5. Soares R.
	21. Thiemann L.
Coaches
. Gulbis M.	. Moors R.

Preview

Bonn is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

VEF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently VEF have a series of guest games.

Recently Bonn have a series of home games.

Bonn will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VEF Riga
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
26.09.24	Tallinna Kalev - VEF Riga	63:84 ✺
21.09.24	Rīgas Zeļļi - VEF Riga	91:88 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
15.09.24	Lietkabelis - VEF Riga	91:66 ✺
14.09.24	VEF Riga - BC Wolves	76:80 ✺
06.09.24	Rytas - VEF Riga	89:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLLW
- Baskets Bonn
German BBL
28.09.24	Baskets Bonn - Mitteldeutscher	95:80 ✺
25.09.24	Rasta Vechta - Baskets Bonn	83:75 ✺
Champions League Basketball
22.09.24	Baskets Bonn - Dinamo Sassari	78:71 ✺
20.09.24	Baskets Bonn - BC Andorra	99:91 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.24	Baskets Bonn - Saint-Quentin	78:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWL

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