Match Info

Euroleague - Round 15

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Roig Arena (Valencia)

Referee: Calic S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Valencia		Anadolu Efes Pilsen

	1	2
	1.28	3.8	Watch
	1.28	3.7
	1.32	3.56
	1.33	3.61	Watch
	1.29	3.3
	1.32	3.61	Watch
	1.27	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.59)	3.63 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
73.6%

Anadolu Efes Pilsen
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valencia's performance.

Anadolu Efes Pilsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anadolu Efes Pilsen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anadolu Efes Pilsen than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anadolu Efes Pilsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Valencia - Anadolu Efes Pilsen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 173.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Valencia will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valencia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Badio B.	10. Cordinier I.
4. Pradilla J.	3. Loyd J.
3. Reuvers N.	24. Osmani E.
1. Taylor K.	11. Smits R.
13. Thompson D.	8. Weiler-Babb N.
Substitutes
24. Costello M.	1. Beaubois R.
5. De Larrea S.	2. Hazer S.
8. Montero J.	88. Jones K.
10. Moore O.	23. Mutaf D.
2. Puerto J.	17. Poirier V.
12. Sako N.	21. Swider C.
77. Sima Y.	33. Yilmaz E.
Coaches
. Martinez Sanchez P.	. Trifunovic R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 3.

Valencia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Anadolu Efes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Valencia is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Valencia will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 720:736. (average 72:73.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 406:387. (average 81.2:77.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Anadolu Efes Pilsen - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.56%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valencia BC
Spanish ACB League
07.12.25	Baskonia - Valencia	89:91 ✺
Euroleague
05.12.25	Panathinaikos - Valencia	79:89 ✺
25.11.25	Valencia - Bayern München	90:67 ✺
Spanish ACB League
23.11.25	Valencia - Girona	98:72 ✺
Euroleague
21.11.25	Valencia - Crvena Zvezda	76:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW
- Anadolu Efes Pilsen
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
07.12.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Petkim Spor	92:96 ✺
Euroleague
04.12.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Real Madrid	75:81 ✺
26.11.25	AS Monaco Basket - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	102:66 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
23.11.25	Tofaş - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	86:79 ✺
Euroleague
20.11.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Barcelona	74:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
03.01.24	Valencia - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	93:88
20.10.23	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Valencia	77:73
11.01.23	Valencia - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	81:71
18.10.22	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Valencia	91:92
02.03.21	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Valencia	99:83
10.12.20	Valencia - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	76:74
18.10.19	Valencia - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	78:83

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