Match Info

Euroleague - Round 12

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Roig Arena (Valencia)

Referee: Boubert M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Valencia		Crvena Zvezda

	1	2
	1.48	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.7	Watch
	1.52	2.42
	1.52	2.48	Watch
	1.51	2.67	Watch
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	2.59 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
63.2%

Crvena Zvezda
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Crvena Zvezda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Valencia - Crvena Zvezda Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 30 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 81.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5, OT - Crvena Zvezda (1.90) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 167.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, OT - Valencia (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6.5 - Crvena Zvezda (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crvena Zvezda will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 2 - 7.1%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 26 - 92.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Taylor K.	95. Moneke C.
3. Reuvers N.	12. Kalinic N.
24. Costello M.	20. Motiejunas D.
10. Moore O.	6. Butler J.
8. Montero J.	0. Miller-McIntyre C.
Substitutes
0. Badio B.	7. Davidovac D.
7. Key B.	13. Dobric O.
6. Lopez-Arostegui X.	2. Miljenovic S.
4. Pradilla J.	33. Nwora J.
2. Puerto J.	37. Ojeleye S.
12. Sako N.	1. Plavsic U.
13. Thompson D.	99. Yago
Coaches
. Martinez Sanchez P.	. Obradovic S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Crvena Zvezda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Valencia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1011:1057. (average 77.8:81.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 493:468. (average 82.2:78).

Last Results with these Odds

Valencia - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.5%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Crvena Zvezda - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valencia BC
Spanish ACB League
16.11.25	Valencia - Canarias	96:79 ✺
Euroleague
13.11.25	Paris - Valencia	90:86 ✺
11.11.25	Valencia - Real Madrid	89:76 ✺
Spanish ACB League
09.11.25	Granada - Valencia	85:79 ✺
Euroleague
07.11.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Valencia	86:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL
- KK Crvena Zvezda
Adriatic League
17.11.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Crvena Zvezda	87:86 ✺
Euroleague
13.11.25	Crvena Zvezda - AS Monaco Basket	91:79 ✺
11.11.25	Dubai - Crvena Zvezda	102:86 ✺
Adriatic League
08.11.25	Crvena Zvezda - KK Budućnost	95:79 ✺
Euroleague
05.11.25	Crvena Zvezda - Panathinaikos	86:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
30.01.24	Crvena Zvezda - Valencia	82:64
06.12.23	Valencia - Crvena Zvezda	85:81
29.03.23	Crvena Zvezda - Valencia	92:73
06.01.23	Valencia - Crvena Zvezda	75:77
15.01.21	Valencia - Crvena Zvezda	91:71
18.12.20	Crvena Zvezda - Valencia	76:73
28.11.19	Crvena Zvezda - Valencia	76:73

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