Match Info

EUROPE: FIBA EUROPE CUP - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 31 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: Vijf Meihal (Leiden)


	Leiden		Varese

	1	2
			Watch
	3.4	1.25
	3.95	1.21	Watch
	3.63	1.2
	4.14	1.24
	3.75	1.25
	3.97	1.23
	3.95	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.03)	1.23 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leiden
24.3%

Varese
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiden's form might have worsened.

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Leiden - Varese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leiden will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Varese will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:89

#ad

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Leiden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cimberio Varese have a series of home games.

In this match Cimberio Varese is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leiden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 82-79.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
BNXT League
27.01.24	Leiden - BAL Weert	72:64 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
24.01.24	CSM Oradea - Leiden	90:77 ✺
Dutch DBL Cup
21.01.24	Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch - Leiden	78:66 ✺
18.01.24	Leiden - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch	70:58 ✺
BNXT League
14.01.24	Landstede - Leiden	71:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW
- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.01.24	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Varese	82:83 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
24.01.24	Varese - Niners Chemnitz	90:78 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.01.24	Varese - Virtus Bologna	69:81 ✺
14.01.24	Varese - Venezia	92:103 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
10.01.24	Varese - CSM Oradea	100:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
13.12.23	Varese - Leiden	79:82

Upcoming Matches