Match Info

EUROPE: FIBA EUROPE CUP - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 10 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: Palasport Lino Oldrini (Varese)


	Varese		CSM Oradea

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.45	2.87
	1.44	2.84
	1.44	2.62
	1.38	2.94
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (2.13)	2.72 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
65.6%

CSM Oradea
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varese's performance.

CSM Oradea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSM Oradea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-23.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSM Oradea than the current prediction. (+23.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSM Oradea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	0%	4.3%

Varese - CSM Oradea Predictions

Users Predictions: Varese will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:86

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently CSM Oradea have a series of home games.

Cimberio Varese will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
06.01.24	Treviso Basket - Varese	96:101 ✺
29.12.23	Varese - Reggiana	116:93 ✺
23.12.23	Basket Pesaro - Varese	81:88 ✺
17.12.23	Varese - Olimpia Milano	70:74 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
13.12.23	Varese - Leiden	79:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLL
- CSM Oradea Basketball
Romanian Divizia A Basketball
05.01.24	CSM Oradea - Petrolul Ploiești	92:72 ✺
28.12.23	Târgu Mureş - CSM Oradea	88:83 ✺
23.12.23	CSM Oradea - CSM Constanța	90:76 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
13.12.23	CSM Oradea - Niners Chemnitz	79:95 ✺
Romanian Divizia A Basketball
09.12.23	CSM Oradea - SCM CSU Craiova	90:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLW

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