Match Info

EUROPE: FIBA EUROPE CUP - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 13 December 2023, Wednesday


	Varese		Leiden

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.41
	1.32	3.41
	1.33	3.25
	1.3	3.34
	1.28	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	3.3 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
71.6%

Leiden
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Leiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Varese - Leiden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:80

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Preview

Cimberio Varese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Leiden is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leiden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cimberio Varese have a series of guest games.

In this match Cimberio Varese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
10.12.23	Brindisi - Varese	86:81 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
06.12.23	Niners Chemnitz - Varese	109:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.12.23	Varese - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	68:75 ✺
26.11.23	Basket Brescia - Varese	116:73 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
22.11.23	TSU Tbilisi - Varese	81:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
BNXT League
10.12.23	QSTA United - Leiden	83:79 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
06.12.23	Leiden - CSM Oradea	77:82 ✺
BNXT League
28.11.23	Donar Groningen - Leiden	70:72 ✺
19.11.23	Leiden - Donar Groningen	85:77 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
15.11.23	Leiden - Trepça	80:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW

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