Match Info

Lega A - Round 5

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio (Venice)

Referee: Marziali S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Venezia		Varese

	1	2
			Watch
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.34	2.94	Watch
	1.2	4.83	Watch
	1.18	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)	4.44 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
78.4%

Varese
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venezia's performance.

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Venezia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Venezia - Varese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Bowman K.	2. Alviti D.
1. Cole R.J.	42. Moody S.
2. Horton C.	4. Moore T.
22. Parks J.	8. Nkamhoua O.
33. Wiltjer K.	15. Renfro N.
Substitutes
7. Candi L.	99. Alabiso R.
5. De Nicolao G.	55. Freeman A.
4. Lever A.	11. Ikenna I.
11. Nikolic S.	34. Ladurner M.
00. Tessitori A.	13. Librizzi M.
45. Valentine D.	7. N'Guessan E.
10. Wheatle C.	5. Villa M.
Coaches
. Spahija N.	. Kastritis I.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 5.

Venezia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Varese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Varese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Venezia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1644:1554. (average 82.2:77.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 829:760. (average 82.9:76).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umana Venezia
Eurocup
29.10.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Venezia	92:104 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
26.10.25	Olimpia Milano - Venezia	101:88 ✺
Eurocup
22.10.25	U BT Cluj-Napoca - Venezia	103:102 OT ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.10.25	Venezia - Trieste	102:66 ✺
Eurocup
15.10.25	Venezia - Neptūnas	89:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWW
- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
25.10.25	Varese - Basket Trento	74:85 ✺
19.10.25	Reggiana - Varese	103:79 ✺
11.10.25	Varese - Olimpia Milano	61:94 ✺
05.10.25	Dinamo Sassari - Varese	102:105 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Varese - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	83:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
11.05.25	Venezia - Varese	83:64
01.12.24	Varese - Venezia	77:86
14.01.24	Varese - Venezia	92:103
29.10.23	Venezia - Varese	102:88
Club Friendly Basketball
08.09.23	Venezia - Varese	89:77
Italian Lega A Basketball
23.04.23	Venezia - Varese	92:81
19.11.22	Varese - Venezia	93:90

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