Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 22

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: PalaOlimpia (Verona)


	Verona		Venezia

	1	2
	2.9	1.43	Watch
	2.7	1.42
	2.8	1.44
	2.89	1.44
	2.85	1.44
	2.96	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.18)	1.42 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
33.4%

Venezia
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Verona's form might have worsened.

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Venezia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Verona - Venezia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:83

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

Verona is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Venezia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Venezia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Venezia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Verona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 57-80.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Verona
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.03.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Verona	73:69 ✺
05.03.23	Verona - Reggiana	78:76 ✺
12.02.23	Brindisi - Verona	102:68 ✺
04.02.23	Verona - Treviso Basket	81:97 ✺
29.01.23	Virtus Bologna - Verona	87:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL
- Umana Venezia
Eurocup
15.03.23	Bursaspor - Venezia	73:89 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.03.23	Venezia - Virtus Bologna	68:83 ✺
Eurocup
08.03.23	Venezia - Basket Brescia	90:64 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.03.23	Dinamo Sassari - Venezia	90:81 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
16.02.23	Virtus Bologna - Venezia	82:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
08.01.23	Venezia - Verona	80:57

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