Match Info

Euroleague - Round 4

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Segafredo Arena (Bologna)

Referee: Obrknezevic U. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
International	EuroLeague TV


	Virtus Bologna		AS Monaco Basket

	1	2
	2.65	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.52	Watch
	2.54	1.54
	2.40	1.53	Watch
	2.58	1.54	Watch
	2.57	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.5)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
37.3%

AS Monaco Basket
62.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

AS Monaco Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Virtus Bologna - AS Monaco Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Monaco will win (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Bologna: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Virtus Bologna (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Virtus Bologna will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Bologna (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Monaco (votes: 4 - 23.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Akele N.	11. Diallo A.
3. Edwards C.	55. James M.
34. Jallow K.	33. Mirotic N.
6. Pajola A.	32. Strazel M.
9. Smailagic A.	10. Theis D.
Substitutes
31. Diarra A.	23. Begarin J.
35. Diouf M.	4. Blossomgame J.
23. Hackett D.	15. Calathes N.
30. Morgan M.	13. Hayes K.
7. Niang S.	26. Nedovic N.
11. Taylor B.	0. Okobo E.
1. Vildoza L.	22. Tarpey T.
Coaches
. Ivanovic D.	. Spanoulis V.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Virtus Bologna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monaco might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 786:790. (average 78.6:79).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Bologna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 395:409. (average 79:81.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.10.25	Udine - Virtus Bologna	80:82 OT ✺
Euroleague
09.10.25	Paris - Virtus Bologna	90:79 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
06.10.25	Virtus Bologna - Napoli Basket	105:88 ✺
Euroleague
03.10.25	Valencia - Virtus Bologna	103:94 ✺
30.09.25	Virtus Bologna - Real Madrid	74:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW
- AS Monaco Basket
French LNB
12.10.25	Paris - AS Monaco Basket	94:99 ✺
Euroleague
09.10.25	Olimpia Milano - AS Monaco Basket	79:82 ✺
French LNB
05.10.25	AS Monaco Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	99:104 ✺
Euroleague
03.10.25	AS Monaco Basket - Dubai	103:81 ✺
01.10.25	AS Monaco Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	84:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
23.01.25	Virtus Bologna - AS Monaco Basket	80:86
18.10.24	AS Monaco Basket - Virtus Bologna	101:85
09.02.24	Virtus Bologna - AS Monaco Basket	78:80
13.10.23	AS Monaco Basket - Virtus Bologna	59:83
16.03.23	AS Monaco Basket - Virtus Bologna	81:68
07.10.22	Virtus Bologna - AS Monaco Basket	66:83
Eurocup
09.12.20	AS Monaco Basket - Virtus Bologna	68:74

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