Match Info

Euroleague - Round 1

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Segafredo Arena (Bologna)

Referee: Bittner S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Peru	Movistar Deportes
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
International	EuroLeague TV


	Virtus Bologna		Real Madrid

	1	2
	2.65	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.48	Watch
	2.52	1.58
	2.45	1.51	Watch
	2.74	1.49	Watch
	2.9	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.73)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
36%

Real Madrid
64%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Virtus Bologna - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Bologna (votes: 3 - 50%). Real Madrid (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Real Madrid (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5, OT - Virtus Bologna (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Bologna (votes: 4 - 50%). Real Madrid (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alston Jr. D.	6. Abalde A.
3. Edwards C.	24. Feliz A.
34. Jallow K.	11. Hezonja M.
6. Pajola A.	8. Okeke C.
9. Smailagic A.	22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
31. Diarra A.	7. Campazzo F.
35. Diouf M.	14. Deck G.
23. Hackett D.	20. Fernando B.
30. Morgan M.	16. Garuba U.
7. Niang S.	1. Kramer D.
11. Taylor B.	23. Llull S.
1. Vildoza L.	0. Lyles T.
Coaches
. Ivanovic D.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 0.

Virtus Bologna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real Madrid will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 475:555. (average 79.2:92.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Bologna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 220:265. (average 73.3:88.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Super Cup Basketball
27.09.25	Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano	86:93 OT ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Virtus Bologna - Bayern München	90:89 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.06.25	Basket Brescia - Virtus Bologna	74:96 ✺
14.06.25	Virtus Bologna - Basket Brescia	75:65 ✺
12.06.25	Virtus Bologna - Basket Brescia	90:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW
- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish Supercopa ACB
28.09.25	Real Madrid - Valencia	94:98 ✺
27.09.25	Real Madrid - Canarias	72:71 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
06.09.25	Real Madrid - ALBA Berlin	90:65 ✺
Spanish ACB League
25.06.25	Valencia - Real Madrid	70:81 ✺
22.06.25	Real Madrid - Valencia	102:96 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
13.03.25	Virtus Bologna - Real Madrid	67:80
12.11.24	Real Madrid - Virtus Bologna	98:86
15.03.24	Virtus Bologna - Real Madrid	74:89
09.11.23	Real Madrid - Virtus Bologna	100:74
24.03.23	Virtus Bologna - Real Madrid	79:96
27.10.22	Real Madrid - Virtus Bologna	92:95

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