Match Info

Euroleague - Round 29

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Segafredo Arena (Bologna)

Referee: Sukys A. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Virtus Bologna		Barcelona

	1	2
	2.25	1.56	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.35	1.6
	2.43	1.6
	2.41	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.53	1.56	Watch
	2.45	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
40%

Barcelona
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	0%	48%

Virtus Bologna - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Barcelona will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Bologna: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Virtus Bologna (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Virtus Bologna will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Bologna (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Diouf M.	21. Clyburn W.
3. Edwards C.	20. Laprovittola N.
34. Jallow K.	0. Punter K.
9. Smailagic A.	23. Shengelia T.
1. Vildoza L.	6. Vesely J.
Substitutes
45. Akele N.	8. Brizuela D.
21. Alston Jr. D.	3. Cale M.
2. Baiocchi M.	19. Fall Y.
31. Diarra A.	14. Hernangomez W.
24. Ferrari F.	5. Norris M.
30. Morgan M.	44. Parra J.
7. Niang S.	13. Satoransky T.
Coaches
. Ivanovic D.	. Pascual X.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Barcelona has had a series of home games.

Barcelona might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 548:586. (average 78.3:83.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Bologna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 240:248. (average 80:82.7).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Barcelona: 3.54% Virtus Bologna: 0.87%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
8	Barcelona	4	2	2	352:346
9	Virtus Bologna	4	2	2	343:346

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Bologna - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.56%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Barcelona - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 59.44%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Italian Cup Basketball
21.02.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna	84:78 ✺
19.02.26	Virtus Bologna - Napoli Basket	83:73 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.02.26	Virtus Bologna - Udine	90:86 ✺
Euroleague
12.02.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Virtus Bologna	91:60 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.02.26	Basket Brescia - Virtus Bologna	79:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW
- FC Barcelona Basketball
Spanish Basketball Cup
21.02.26	Barcelona - Baskonia	67:70 ✺
20.02.26	Barcelona - UCAM Murcia	91:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
15.02.26	Barcelona - Basquet Manresa	97:60 ✺
Euroleague
12.02.26	Barcelona - Paris	74:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
08.02.26	Barcelona - Girona	97:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
14.11.25	Barcelona - Virtus Bologna	88:81
11.04.25	Barcelona - Virtus Bologna	91:87
20.12.24	Virtus Bologna - Barcelona	85:81
31.01.24	Barcelona - Virtus Bologna	84:57
06.12.23	Virtus Bologna - Barcelona	80:75
09.02.23	Virtus Bologna - Barcelona	75:92
05.01.23	Barcelona - Virtus Bologna	75:83

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